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Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa Predictions

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sun, 15 Nov 2026 · 16:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSun, 15 Nov 2026

Penafiel

1st in table · 22 pts

LLWWW

Sun, 15 Nov 2026·16:30

vs

Not startedTip: X · 3.00

Lusitânia Lourosa

4th in table · 19 pts

DWDDL

Win probability

39.6%Penafiel29.7%Draw30.7%Lusitânia Lourosa

Our prediction

X · Penafiel

Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa listed tip from the board.

Odds3.00
Confidence33.3%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Penafiel 39.6%
  • Draw 29.7%
  • Lusitânia Lourosa 30.7%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • DrawsXOdds 3.0033%Pending
  • Banker of the DayUnder 3.5Odds 1.2580%Pending
  • rolloverUnder 3.5Odds 1.2580%Pending
  • Sure 5 OddsXOdds 3.0033%Pending
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.2580%Pending
  • v3Under 3.5Odds 1.25Pending

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PenafielLusitânia Lourosa
Goals scored (avg)
2.11.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.1
Wins
75
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Penafiel6W 1D 2L in last 9
  • 7 NovChaves2 – 3PenafielW
  • 2 NovPenafiel1 – 0FeirenseW
  • 24 OctFarense1 – 4PenafielW
  • 17 OctPenafiel0 – 1LeçaL
  • 9 OctPenafiel1 – 2AVSL
  • 25 SeptPenafiel2 – 2Deportivo La CorunaD
  • 19 SeptOliveirense1 – 2PenafielW
  • 12 SeptFelgueiras 19321 – 2PenafielW
  • 5 SeptPenafiel4 – 1AcademicaW
Lusitânia Lourosa5W 4D 1L in last 10
  • 8 NovFeirense1 – 0Lusitânia LourosaL
  • 1 NovLusitânia Lourosa1 – 1FarenseD
  • 25 OctFelgueiras 19322 – 2Lusitânia LourosaD
  • 18 OctLusitânia Lourosa2 – 1Os LimianosW
  • 11 OctLusitânia Lourosa1 – 1ChavesD
  • 20 SeptMadalena1 – 3Lusitânia LourosaW
  • 14 SeptSporting CP B1 – 2Lusitânia LourosaW
  • 7 SeptLusitânia Lourosa2 – 1AVSW
  • 29 AugAcademica0 – 2Lusitânia LourosaW
  • 22 AugLusitânia Lourosa2 – 2TorreenseD
H2H
Head to headPenafiel 1W · 1D · Lusitânia Lourosa 0W · 1 goals a game
  • 16 FebPenafiel2 – 0Lusitânia Lourosa
  • 13 SeptLusitânia Lourosa0 – 0Penafiel

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.4% · 2.0813.7% · 1.73
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50.3%
No49.7%

Double chance

1X35.4%
1235.4%
X229.1%

Match result

Penafiel2.25
Draw3
Lusitânia Lourosa2.9

Both teams to score

Yes50.3% · 1.83
No49.7% · 1.85

1X

Chance35.4%
Odds1.33

12

Chance35.4%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance29.1%
Odds1.62

Penafiel

Chance39.6%
Odds2.25

Draw

Chance29.7%
Odds3

Lusitânia Lourosa

Chance30.7%
Odds2.9

First half result

Penafiel31.8% · 2.8
Draw43.4% · 2.05
Lusitânia Lourosa24.7% · 3.6

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.4

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 3.00

PenafielLusitânia Lourosa
Recent form50%50%
Attack55%45%
Defence49%51%
Goals model55%45%
Head-to-head75%25%
Overall56%44%

Trends

Trend · Segunda Liga

Penafiel scored 2.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Segunda Liga

Penafiel conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Segunda Liga

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Segunda Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sun, 15 Nov 2026 · Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel

Penafiel meet Lusitânia Lourosa in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 15 November 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel. The listed referee is Antonio Nobre. The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penafiel at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa match?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 15 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

Penafiel is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.08 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.