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Leixoes vs Chaves Predictions

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sun, 15 Nov 2026 · 19:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSun, 15 Nov 2026

Leixoes

12th in table · 11 pts

LLLLD

Sun, 15 Nov 2026·19:00

vs

Not startedTip: X · 3.20

Chaves

17th in table · 8 pts

DWWLL

Win probability

45.8%Leixoes27.9%Draw26.3%Chaves

Our prediction

X · Leixoes

Leixoes vs Chaves listed tip from the board.

Odds3.20
Confidence31.3%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Leixoes 45.8%
  • Draw 27.9%
  • Chaves 26.3%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • DrawsXOdds 3.2031%Pending
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.7059%Pending
  • Correct Score Tips1-0Odds 5.4618%Pending
  • Sure 5 OddsXOdds 3.2031%Pending
  • HandicapHome -0.5Odds 1.4469%Pending

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LeixoesChaves
Goals scored (avg)
1.61.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.71.8
Wins
32
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Leixoes3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 7 NovFelgueiras 19323 – 3LeixoesD
  • 31 OctLeixoes1 – 2Sporting CP BL
  • 24 OctAcademica4 – 0LeixoesL
  • 17 OctVianense1 – 0LeixoesL
  • 10 OctLeixoes1 – 2FC Porto BL
  • 20 SeptCinfães0 – 4LeixoesW
  • 11 SeptTorreense0 – 0LeixoesD
  • 6 SeptLeixoes3 – 1AmaranteW
  • 29 AugPortimonense0 – 2LeixoesW
  • 22 AugLeixoes2 – 4União de LeiriaL
Chaves4W 1D 5L in last 10
  • 7 NovChaves2 – 3PenafielL
  • 31 OctBenfica B3 – 1ChavesL
  • 23 OctChaves2 – 1VizelaW
  • 16 OctChaves2 – 1Os MarialvasW
  • 11 OctLusitânia Lourosa1 – 1ChavesD
  • 4 OctFarense4 – 0ChavesL
  • 25 SeptChaves0 – 1Vitória SCL
  • 20 SeptGuarda2 – 3ChavesW
  • 13 SeptChaves1 – 0FeirenseW
  • 30 AugFelgueiras 19322 – 1ChavesL
H2H
Head to headLeixoes 2W · 4D · Chaves 2W · 1.6 goals a game
  • 9 MayChaves1 – 2Leixoes
  • 16 NovLeixoes0 – 1Chaves
  • 25 JanLeixoes0 – 0Chaves
  • 18 AugChaves0 – 0Leixoes
  • 24 JanLeixoes1 – 1Chaves
  • 16 AugChaves1 – 1Leixoes
  • 15 MayChaves3 – 1Leixoes
  • 16 JanLeixoes1 – 0Chaves

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.37% · 3.4
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Double chance

1X37.6%
1235.3%
X227.1%

Match result

Leixoes1.95
Draw3.2
Chaves3.4

Both teams to score

Yes54.7% · 1.7
No45.3% · 2.05

1X

Chance37.6%
Odds1.25

12

Chance35.3%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance27.1%
Odds1.73

Leixoes

Chance45.8%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance27.9%
Odds3.2

Chaves

Chance26.3%
Odds3.4

First half result

Leixoes35.7% · 2.5
Draw41.5% · 2.15
Chaves22.9% · 3.9

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.36

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 3.20

LeixoesChaves
Recent form46%54%
Attack55%45%
Defence52%48%
Goals model55%45%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall64%36%

Trends

Trend · Segunda Liga

Leixoes scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Segunda Liga

Leixoes conceded 1.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Segunda Liga

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Segunda Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Leixoes vs Chaves: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sun, 15 Nov 2026 · Estadio do Mar, Matosinhos

Leixoes meet Chaves in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 15 November 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is Estadio do Mar, Matosinhos. The listed referee is Claudio Pereira. The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leixoes at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Leixoes vs Chaves FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Leixoes vs Chaves match?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 15 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Leixoes vs Chaves?

Leixoes is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.