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Tondela vs Farense Predictions

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sun, 15 Nov 2026 · 12:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSun, 15 Nov 2026

Tondela

7th in table · 16 pts

WWLWD

Sun, 15 Nov 2026·12:00

vs

Not startedTip: Tondela · 2.05

Farense

8th in table · 15 pts

WWLDL

Win probability

43.4%Tondela29.7%Draw27%Farense

Our prediction

Tondela

Tondela is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.05
Confidence43.4%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tondela 43.4%
  • Draw 29.7%
  • Farense 27%

Board tips

Betting Tips

No extra market tips stored for this fixture yet. Use the prediction card and odds markets below.

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

TondelaFarense
Goals scored (avg)
1.81.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.2
Wins
54
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Tondela6W 1D 3L in last 10
  • 8 NovSporting CP B1 – 1TondelaD
  • 1 NovTondela3 – 2Felgueiras 1932W
  • 25 OctAVS2 – 1TondelaL
  • 18 OctTondela2 – 0AlvercaW
  • 10 OctTondela1 – 0TorreenseW
  • 19 SeptImortal Albufeira1 – 5TondelaW
  • 12 SeptPortimonense0 – 2TondelaW
  • 5 SeptTondela3 – 0FC Porto BW
  • 28 AugUnião de Leiria2 – 0TondelaL
  • 21 AugTondela0 – 2AcademicaL
Farense4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 8 NovFarense2 – 3Benfica BL
  • 1 NovLusitânia Lourosa1 – 1FarenseD
  • 24 OctFarense1 – 4PenafielL
  • 17 OctFarense3 – 0AD Marco 09W
  • 11 OctFarense2 – 1FeirenseW
  • 4 OctFarense4 – 0ChavesW
  • 20 SeptSacavenense0 – 1FarenseW
  • 13 SeptAVS0 – 0FarenseD
  • 30 AugSporting CP B2 – 1FarenseL
  • 24 AugFarense1 – 1Felgueiras 1932D
H2H
Head to headTondela 2W · 0D · Farense 3W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 27 SeptFarense1 – 0Tondela
  • 28 MayFarense3 – 1Tondela
  • 22 JanTondela1 – 0Farense
  • 15 MayFarense1 – 0Tondela
  • 30 JanTondela2 – 0Farense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.9% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50.3%
No49.7%

Double chance

1X36.6%
1235.5%
X227.8%

Match result

Tondela2.05
Draw3
Farense3.3

Both teams to score

Yes50.3% · 1.83
No49.7% · 1.85

1X

Chance36.6%
Odds1.29

12

Chance35.5%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance27.8%
Odds1.7

Tondela

Chance43.4%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance29.7%
Odds3

Farense

Chance27%
Odds3.3

First half result

Tondela35.5% · 2.5
Draw42.3% · 2.1
Farense22.2% · 4

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.4

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Tondela at 2.05

TondelaFarense
Recent form56%44%
Attack53%47%
Defence53%47%
Goals model53%47%
Head-to-head40%60%
Overall62%38%

Trends

Trend · Segunda Liga

Tondela scored 1.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Segunda Liga

Tondela conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Segunda Liga

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Segunda Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Tondela vs Farense: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sun, 15 Nov 2026 · Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela

Tondela meet Farense in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 15 November 2026 at 12:00 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela. The listed referee is Vitor Miguel Oliveira Lopes. The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tondela at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83. The both-teams-to-score potential is 58%.

Tondela are listed at 45 points per game. Farense are listed at 10 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Tondela vs Farense FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Tondela vs Farense match?

Kickoff is 12:00 on 15 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Tondela vs Farense?

Tondela is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.