Match dossier

Twente vs Ajax Predictions

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 8 Nov 2026 · 14:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Twente

4th in table · 23 pts

LWWWW

Sun, 8 Nov 2026·14:30

2 : 2

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.44

Ajax

2nd in table · 24 pts

WWWWW

Win probability

41.5%Twente25.3%Draw33.2%Ajax

Our prediction

1X · Twente

Twente vs Ajax listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence69.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Twente 41.5%
  • Draw 25.3%
  • Ajax 33.2%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.4469%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.4071%Won
  • Win Either HalfHWEHOdds 1.5764%Won

Season statistics

Eredivisie · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

TwenteAjax
Goals scored (avg)
3.33
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.71.1
Wins
77
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Twente8W 1D 1L in last 10
  • 5 NovTwente3 – 1PafosW
  • 1 NovExcelsior0 – 9TwenteW
  • 25 OctAZ Alkmaar0 – 2TwenteW
  • 22 OctLincoln Red Imps FC1 – 4TwenteW
  • 18 OctTwente1 – 2UtrechtL
  • 15 OctTwente1 – 0FC ThunW
  • 10 OctFortuna Sittard1 – 1TwenteD
  • 2 OctTwente7 – 0Werder BremenW
  • 20 SeptTwente3 – 2PSV EindhovenW
  • 12 SeptTwente2 – 0ADO Den HaagW
Ajax7W 2D 1L in last 10
  • 5 NovFC Midtjylland1 – 6AjaxW
  • 31 OctAjax1 – 0AZ AlkmaarW
  • 25 OctSparta Rotterdam1 – 2AjaxW
  • 22 OctAjax2 – 0AtalantaW
  • 18 OctGroningen2 – 5AjaxW
  • 15 OctHNK Hajduk Split2 – 1AjaxL
  • 10 OctAjax1 – 1NEC NijmegenD
  • 19 SeptAjax2 – 2ExcelsiorD
  • 15 SeptAjax5 – 1Willem IIW
  • 12 SeptFortuna Sittard1 – 5AjaxW
H2H
Head to headTwente 4W · 2D · Ajax 4W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 16 AprAjax0 – 1Twente
  • 4 AprAjax1 – 2Twente
  • 26 OctTwente2 – 3Ajax
  • 18 MayAjax2 – 0Twente
  • 10 NovTwente2 – 2Ajax
  • 14 AprAjax2 – 1Twente
  • 17 SeptTwente3 – 1Ajax
  • 28 MayTwente3 – 1Ajax
  • 9 FebTwente0 – 1Ajax
  • 14 JanAjax0 – 0Twente

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals21.1% · 1.123.9% · 6
2.5 goals16% · 1.489.1% · 2.6
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.114.2% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes66.7%
No33.3%

Double chance

1X32.8%
1237.7%
X229.5%

Match result

Twente2.2
Draw3.6
Ajax2.75

Both teams to score

Yes66.7% · 1.4
No33.3% · 2.8

1X

Chance32.8%
Odds1.44

12

Chance37.7%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance29.5%
Odds1.6

Twente

Chance41.5%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance25.3%
Odds3.6

Ajax

Chance33.2%
Odds2.75

First half result

Twente35.8% · 2.5
Draw34.4% · 2.6
Ajax29.8% · 3

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.2

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.44

TwenteAjax
Recent form52%48%
Attack52%48%
Defence55%45%
Goals model52%48%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall56%44%

Trends

Trend · Eredivisie

Twente scored 3.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Eredivisie

Twente conceded 0.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Eredivisie

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 10.

Trend · Eredivisie

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 10.

Twente vs Ajax: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 8 Nov 2026

Twente meet Ajax in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Twente at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.48, about 63.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.4.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Twente vs Ajax FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Twente vs Ajax match?

Kickoff is 14:30 on 8 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Twente vs Ajax?

Twente is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.48 and under 2.5 is 2.6.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.4. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.