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AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen Predictions

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 8 Nov 2026 · 16:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSun, 8 Nov 2026

AZ Alkmaar

5th in table · 20 pts

DWLLL

Sun, 8 Nov 2026·16:45

4 : 3

Full timeTip: GG · 1.50

Groningen

8th in table · 15 pts

WLDLL

Win probability

60.3%AZ Alkmaar21.6%Draw18.1%Groningen

Our prediction

GG · AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen listed tip from the board.

Odds1.50
Confidence66.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AZ Alkmaar 60.3%
  • Draw 21.6%
  • Groningen 18.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.5067%Won

Season statistics

Eredivisie · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AZ AlkmaarGroningen
Goals scored (avg)
1.12
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.22.4
Wins
64
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

AZ Alkmaar3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 5 NovAZ Alkmaar1 – 2JuventusL
  • 31 OctAjax1 – 0AZ AlkmaarL
  • 25 OctAZ Alkmaar0 – 2TwenteL
  • 22 OctArarat-Armenia0 – 4AZ AlkmaarW
  • 18 OctCambuur2 – 2AZ AlkmaarD
  • 15 OctAZ Alkmaar2 – 1Hapoel Beer ShevaW
  • 10 OctFeyenoord2 – 0AZ AlkmaarL
  • 20 SeptAZ Alkmaar1 – 0TelstarW
  • 16 SeptSunderland1 – 0AZ AlkmaarL
  • 11 SeptAZ Alkmaar1 – 1Willem IID
Groningen2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 1 NovGroningen2 – 3Sparta RotterdamL
  • 29 OctGroningen0 – 2EmmenL
  • 25 OctNEC Nijmegen2 – 2GroningenD
  • 18 OctGroningen2 – 5AjaxL
  • 11 OctExcelsior1 – 5GroningenW
  • 18 SeptGroningen3 – 0PEC ZwolleW
  • 12 SeptGO Ahead Eagles1 – 1GroningenD
  • 6 SeptGroningen2 – 2TwenteD
  • 28 AugGroningen2 – 3Fortuna SittardL
  • 23 AugPSV Eindhoven5 – 1GroningenL
H2H
Head to headAZ Alkmaar 6W · 2D · Groningen 2W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 22 MarGroningen3 – 0AZ Alkmaar
  • 10 AugAZ Alkmaar4 – 1Groningen
  • 11 MayAZ Alkmaar3 – 0Groningen
  • 18 DecAZ Alkmaar3 – 1Groningen
  • 25 AugGroningen0 – 0AZ Alkmaar
  • 11 MarAZ Alkmaar1 – 0Groningen
  • 1 OctGroningen1 – 4AZ Alkmaar
  • 21 DecAZ Alkmaar1 – 0Groningen
  • 24 OctGroningen2 – 0AZ Alkmaar
  • 13 MayGroningen0 – 0AZ Alkmaar

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.3% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
2.5 goals16.9% · 1.48.2% · 2.88
3.5 goals12.4% · 1.9113.1% · 1.8

Both teams to score

Yes62%
No38%

Double chance

1X40.6%
1239.6%
X219.8%

Match result

AZ Alkmaar1.5
Draw4.2
Groningen5

Both teams to score

Yes62% · 1.5
No38% · 2.45

1X

Chance40.6%
Odds1.17

12

Chance39.6%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance19.8%
Odds2.4

AZ Alkmaar

Chance60.3%
Odds1.5

Draw

Chance21.6%
Odds4.2

Groningen

Chance18.1%
Odds5

First half result

AZ Alkmaar48.6% · 1.85
Draw32.7% · 2.75
Groningen18.7% · 4.8

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.2

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: GG at 1.50

AZ AlkmaarGroningen
Recent form55%45%
Attack35%65%
Defence75%25%
Goals model35%65%
Head-to-head70%30%
Overall77%23%

Trends

Trend · Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar scored 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Eredivisie

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · Eredivisie

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 8 Nov 2026

AZ Alkmaar meet Groningen in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 8 November 2026 at 16:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AZ Alkmaar at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen FAQs

4 questions

What time is the AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen match?

Kickoff is 16:45 on 8 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen?

AZ Alkmaar is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 60.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.4 and under 2.5 is 2.88.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.