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Penybont vs Caernarfon Town Predictions

Wales · Premier League · Fri, 6 Nov 2026 · 20:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Wales · Premier LeagueFri, 6 Nov 2026

Penybont

3rd in table · 36 pts

WLWWW

Fri, 6 Nov 2026·20:45

2 : 0

Full timeTip: Penybont · 2.4

Caernarfon Town

6th in table · 29 pts

LWWWL

Win probability

38%Penybont29.4%Draw32.6%Caernarfon Town

Our prediction

Penybont

Penybont is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.4
Confidence38%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Penybont 38%
  • Draw 29.4%
  • Caernarfon Town 32.6%

Board tips

Betting Tips

No extra market tips stored for this fixture yet. Use the prediction card and odds markets below.

Season statistics

Premier League · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PenybontCaernarfon Town
Goals scored (avg)
2.83
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.2
Wins
119
Played
1516

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Penybont7W 0D 1L in last 8
  • 31 OctCardiff MET0 – 5PenybontW
  • 18 OctAfan Lido2 – 3PenybontW
  • 9 OctPenybont3 – 1Barry TownW
  • 3 OctGAP Connah S Quay FC1 – 0PenybontL
  • 26 SeptPenybont2 – 1Airbus UKW
  • 18 SeptAmmanford AFC1 – 5PenybontW
  • 15 SeptPenybont3 – 2Briton FerryW
  • 11 SeptTrefelin0 – 1PenybontW
Caernarfon Town5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 30 OctAirbus UK3 – 2Caernarfon TownL
  • 23 OctCaernarfon Town3 – 1Briton FerryW
  • 17 OctFlint Town United1 – 3Caernarfon TownW
  • 9 OctHaverfordwest County AFC1 – 2Caernarfon TownW
  • 3 OctCaernarfon Town0 – 1Barry TownL
  • 26 SeptCardiff MET2 – 2Caernarfon TownD
  • 18 SeptCaernarfon Town9 – 1Cambrian & ClydachW
  • 15 SeptLlandudno1 – 1Caernarfon TownD
  • 11 SeptAmmanford AFC0 – 5Caernarfon TownW
H2H
Head to headPenybont 5W · 1D · Caernarfon Town 3W · 3 goals a game
  • 7 AugCaernarfon Town1 – 2Penybont
  • 18 AprCaernarfon Town2 – 0Penybont
  • 24 JanPenybont0 – 0Caernarfon Town
  • 25 OctPenybont0 – 2Caernarfon Town
  • 20 SeptCaernarfon Town1 – 2Penybont
  • 13 AprPenybont3 – 1Caernarfon Town
  • 22 FebCaernarfon Town3 – 2Penybont
  • 2 NovCaernarfon Town1 – 5Penybont
  • 7 SeptPenybont2 – 0Caernarfon Town

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.711.1% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X32.9%
1235.6%
X231.6%

Match result

Penybont2.4
Draw3.1
Caernarfon Town2.8

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance32.9%
Odds1.44

12

Chance35.6%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance31.6%
Odds1.5

Penybont

Chance38%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance29.4%
Odds3.1

Caernarfon Town

Chance32.6%
Odds2.8

First half result

Penybont32% · 2.8
Draw39% · 2.3
Caernarfon Town28.9% · 3.1

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.3

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Penybont at 2.4

PenybontCaernarfon Town
Recent form55%45%
Attack48%52%
Defence53%47%
Goals model48%52%
Head-to-head61%39%
Overall54%46%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

Penybont scored 2.8 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Premier League

Penybont conceded 1 per game in the last 8.

Trend · Premier League

Failed to score in 1 of those 8.

Trend · Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 8.

Penybont vs Caernarfon Town: prediction & preview

Wales · Premier League · Fri, 6 Nov 2026

Penybont meet Caernarfon Town in the Wales, Premier League on 6 November 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penybont at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Penybont vs Caernarfon Town FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Penybont vs Caernarfon Town match?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 6 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?

Penybont is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 38%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.