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Middlesbrough U21 vs Derby County U21 Predictions

England · Premier League 2 Division One · Mon, 9 Nov 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · Premier League 2 Division OneMon, 9 Nov 2026

Middlesbrough U21

30th in table · 2 pts

WLLLW

Mon, 9 Nov 2026·20:00

1 : 1

Full timeTip: Over 2.5 · 1.33

Derby County U21

20th in table · 7 pts

DWLLD

Win probability

48.3%Middlesbrough U2122.9%Draw28.8%Derby County U21

Our prediction

Over 2.5 · Middlesbrough U21

Middlesbrough U21 vs Derby County U21 listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence75.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Middlesbrough U21 48.3%
  • Draw 22.9%
  • Derby County U21 28.8%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.3375%Lost
  • accaOver 2.5Odds 1.3375%Lost
  • v3Over 2.5Odds 1.73Lost

Season statistics

Premier League 2 Division One · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Middlesbrough U21Derby County U21
Goals scored (avg)
1.92
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.32.3
Wins
02
Played
66

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Middlesbrough U213W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 3 NovMiddlesbrough U213 – 2Valencia U21W
  • 25 OctMiddlesbrough U211 – 2Tottenham Hotspur U21L
  • 20 OctBoreham Wood7 – 1Middlesbrough U21L
  • 16 OctEverton U212 – 1Middlesbrough U21L
  • 30 SeptMiddlesbrough U211 – 0Juventus U21W
  • 23 SeptMiddlesbrough U211 – 1Genk U21D
  • 18 SeptAston Villa U212 – 2Middlesbrough U21D
  • 13 SeptMiddlesbrough U214 – 4Leeds United U21D
  • 9 SeptTamworth1 – 3Middlesbrough U21W
Derby County U212W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 3 NovWealdstone2 – 2Derby County U21D
  • 2 NovHull City U211 – 0Derby County U21L
  • 26 OctDerby County U213 – 4Norwich City U21L
  • 19 OctBirmingham City U210 – 4Derby County U21W
  • 13 OctScunthorpe2 – 2Derby County U21D
  • 10 OctBrentford U214 – 2Derby County U21L
  • 18 SeptBurnley U214 – 1Derby County U21L
  • 11 SeptDerby County U211 – 3Tottenham Hotspur U21L
  • 8 SeptGateshead1 – 3Derby County U21W
H2H
Head to headMiddlesbrough U21 3W · 0D · Derby County U21 1W · 3 goals a game
  • 20 MarDerby County U211 – 0Middlesbrough U21
  • 5 NovMiddlesbrough U211 – 0Derby County U21
  • 24 MarDerby County U211 – 5Middlesbrough U21
  • 12 AugMiddlesbrough U213 – 1Derby County U21

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23% · 1.011.2% · 19
1.5 goals22.6% · 1.033.2% · 7.3
2.5 goals17.5% · 1.337.2% · 3.25
3.5 goals13.1% · 1.7712.2% · 1.9

Both teams to score

Yes68.6%
No31.4%

Double chance

1X35.9%
1238.9%
X225.2%

Match result

Middlesbrough U211.85
Draw3.9
Derby County U213.1

Both teams to score

Yes68.6% · 1.33
No31.4% · 2.9

1X

Chance35.9%
Odds1.3

12

Chance38.9%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance25.2%
Odds1.85

Middlesbrough U21

Chance48.3%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance22.9%
Odds3.9

Derby County U21

Chance28.8%
Odds3.1

First half result

Middlesbrough U2140.9% · 2.15
Draw32.5% · 2.7
Derby County U2126.6% · 3.3

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.17

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 2.5 at 1.33

Middlesbrough U21Derby County U21
Recent form60%40%
Attack49%51%
Defence50%50%
Goals model49%51%
Head-to-head75%25%
Overall63%37%

Trends

Trend · Premier League 2 Division One

Middlesbrough U21 scored 1.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League 2 Division One

Middlesbrough U21 conceded 2.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Premier League 2 Division One

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Premier League 2 Division One

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

Middlesbrough U21 vs Derby County U21: prediction & preview

England · Premier League 2 Division One · Mon, 9 Nov 2026 · Heritage Park, Bishop Auckland

Middlesbrough U21 meet Derby County U21 in the England, Premier League 2 Division One on 9 November 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is Heritage Park, Bishop Auckland. The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Middlesbrough U21 at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.33, about 71% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.33.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Middlesbrough U21 vs Derby County U21 FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Middlesbrough U21 vs Derby County U21 match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 9 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Middlesbrough U21 vs Derby County U21?

Middlesbrough U21 is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.33 and under 2.5 is 3.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.33. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.