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Finland vs San Marino Predictions

World · UEFA Nations League · Sun, 15 Nov 2026 · 18:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueSun, 15 Nov 2026

Finland

3rd in table · 7 pts

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Sun, 15 Nov 2026·18:00

vs

Not startedTip: 1-0 · 4.50

San Marino

4th in table · 0 pts

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Win probability

90.2%Finland7.2%Draw2.6%San Marino

Our prediction

1-0 · Finland

Finland vs San Marino listed tip from the board.

Odds4.50
Confidence22.2%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Finland 90.2%
  • Draw 7.2%
  • San Marino 2.6%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Correct Score Tips1-0Odds 4.5022%Pending

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FinlandSan Marino
Goals scored (avg)
1.70.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.13.1
Wins
20
Played
55

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Finland4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 12 NovAlbania2 – 0FinlandL
  • 6 OctBelarus1 – 0FinlandL
  • 3 OctFinland2 – 1AlbaniaW
  • 29 SeptFinland0 – 0BelarusD
  • 26 SeptSan Marino0 – 7FinlandW
  • 5 JunHungary2 – 1FinlandL
  • 31 MayGermany4 – 0FinlandL
  • 30 MarCape Verde Islands1 – 1FinlandD
  • 27 MarNew Zealand0 – 2FinlandW
  • 17 NovFinland4 – 0AndorraW
San Marino0W 1D 9L in last 10
  • 12 NovSan Marino0 – 2BelarusL
  • 6 OctAlbania2 – 1San MarinoL
  • 3 OctBelarus4 – 0San MarinoL
  • 29 SeptSan Marino0 – 3AlbaniaL
  • 26 SeptSan Marino0 – 7FinlandL
  • 9 JunAzerbaijan2 – 1San MarinoL
  • 5 JunSan Marino1 – 2BangladeshL
  • 31 MarSan Marino0 – 0AndorraD
  • 28 MarSan Marino1 – 2Faroe IslandsL
  • 18 NovRomania7 – 1San MarinoL
H2H
Head to headFinland 3W · 0D · San Marino 0W · 5.3 goals a game
  • 26 SeptSan Marino0 – 7Finland
  • 20 NovSan Marino1 – 2Finland
  • 19 JunFinland6 – 0San Marino

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%1.8% · 17
1.5 goals28.9% · 1.063.8% · 8
2.5 goals24.5% · 1.258.2% · 3.75
3.5 goals18.9% · 1.6213.9% · 2.2

Both teams to score

Yes28.3%
No71.7%

Double chance

1291.4%
X28.6%

Match result

Finland1.04
Draw13
San Marino36

Both teams to score

Yes28.3% · 3.3
No71.7% · 1.3

12

Chance91.4%
Odds1.03

X2

Chance8.6%
Odds11

Finland

Chance90.2%
Odds1.04

Draw

Chance7.2%
Odds13

San Marino

Chance2.6%
Odds36

First half result

Finland75.8% · 1.22
Draw21% · 4.4
San Marino3.2% · 29

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.12

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1-0 at 4.50

FinlandSan Marino
Recent form93%7%
Attack77%23%
Defence95%5%
Goals model77%23%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall97%3%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Finland scored 1.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Finland conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Finland vs San Marino: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Sun, 15 Nov 2026 · Bolt Arena, Helsinki

Finland meet San Marino in the World, UEFA Nations League on 15 November 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is Bolt Arena, Helsinki. The listed referee is Georgi Nikolov Kabakov. The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Finland at 1.04. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 90.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.25, about 75% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.3.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Finland vs San Marino FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Finland vs San Marino match?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 15 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Finland vs San Marino?

Finland is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.04. The margin-adjusted share is about 90.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.25 and under 2.5 is 3.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 3.3. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.