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Belgium vs Italy Predictions

World · UEFA Nations League · Sun, 15 Nov 2026 · 20:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueSun, 15 Nov 2026

Belgium

3rd in table · 9 pts

WLWLW

Sun, 15 Nov 2026·20:45

vs

Not startedTip: GG · 1.53

Italy

1st in table · 10 pts

Win probability

42.9%Belgium26.4%Draw30.7%Italy

Our prediction

GG · Belgium

Belgium vs Italy listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence42.9%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Belgium 42.9%
  • Draw 26.4%
  • Italy 30.7%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeGGOdds 1.53Pending
  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.7059%Pending
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.5365%Pending
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.1885%Pending
  • rolloverGGOdds 1.5365%Pending
  • Correct Score Tips1-0Odds 5.7417%Pending
  • accaGGOdds 1.5365%Pending
  • Banker of the DayGGOdds 1.5365%Pending
  • Single BetGGOdds 1.5365%Pending
  • HandicapHome -0.5Odds 1.5764%Pending

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BelgiumItaly
Goals scored (avg)
2.1–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.2–
Wins
33
Played
55

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Belgium6W 1D 3L in last 10
  • 12 NovTürkiye1 – 2BelgiumW
  • 5 OctFrance4 – 1BelgiumL
  • 2 OctBelgium3 – 0TürkiyeW
  • 28 SeptBelgium0 – 1FranceL
  • 25 SeptItaly0 – 2BelgiumW
  • 10 JulSpain2 – 1BelgiumL
  • 7 JulUSA1 – 4BelgiumW
  • 1 JulBelgium3 – 2SenegalW
  • 27 JunNew Zealand1 – 5BelgiumW
  • 21 JunBelgium0 – 0IranD
Italy0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headBelgium 1W · 1D · Italy 4W · 2.5 goals a game
    • 25 SeptItaly0 – 2Belgium
    • 14 NovBelgium0 – 1Italy
    • 10 OctItaly2 – 2Belgium
    • 10 OctItaly2 – 1Belgium
    • 2 JulBelgium1 – 2Italy
    • 13 JunBelgium0 – 2Italy

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
    1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
    2.5 goals14.6% · 1.6210.5% · 2.25
    3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes60.9%
    No39.1%

    Double chance

    1X34.7%
    1236.6%
    X228.6%

    Match result

    Belgium2.15
    Draw3.5
    Italy3

    Both teams to score

    Yes60.9% · 1.53
    No39.1% · 2.38

    1X

    Chance34.7%
    Odds1.36

    12

    Chance36.6%
    Odds1.29

    X2

    Chance28.6%
    Odds1.65

    Belgium

    Chance42.9%
    Odds2.15

    Draw

    Chance26.4%
    Odds3.5

    Italy

    Chance30.7%
    Odds3

    First half result

    Belgium34.5% · 2.6
    Draw39% · 2.3
    Italy26.4% · 3.4

    Half goals

    1st over 0.5100% · 1.29

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: GG at 1.53

    BelgiumItaly
    Recent form95%5%
    Attack68%32%
    Defence64%36%
    Goals model68%32%
    Head-to-head25%75%
    Overall58%42%

    Trends

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Belgium scored 2.1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Belgium conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

    Belgium vs Italy: prediction & preview

    World · UEFA Nations League · Sun, 15 Nov 2026 · Roi Baudouin, Brussels

    Belgium meet Italy in the World, UEFA Nations League on 15 November 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is Roi Baudouin, Brussels. The listed referee is Espen Eskas. The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Belgium at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Belgium vs Italy FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Belgium vs Italy match?

    Kickoff is 20:45 on 15 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Belgium vs Italy?

    Belgium is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.9%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.