Match dossier

Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama Predictions

Brazil · Serie A · Thu, 16 Jul 2026 · 23:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Brazil · Serie AThu, 16 Jul 2026

Vitoria

15th in table · 38 pts

LDDLL

Thu, 16 Jul 2026·23:30

0 : 0

LiveTip: 2 · 3.21

Vasco DA Gama

13th in table · 41 pts

LWLLW

Win probability

41.2%Vitoria29%Draw29.9%Vasco DA Gama

Our prediction

2 · Vitoria

Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama listed tip from the board.

Odds3.21
Confidence31.15%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Vitoria 41.2%
  • Draw 29%
  • Vasco DA Gama 29.9%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Away Win2Odds 3.2131%Pending
  • DrawsXOdds 3.3163%Pending
  • Correct Score Tips3-1Odds 15.007%Pending
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.0233%Pending
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.7358%Pending

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

VitoriaVasco DA Gama
Goals scored (avg)
1.11.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61.3
Wins
1011
Played
3433

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Vitoria2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 7 NovVitoria0 – 3FluminenseL
  • 31 OctCoritiba2 – 0VitoriaL
  • 24 OctVitoria1 – 1Atletico ParanaenseD
  • 20 OctCorinthians1 – 1VitoriaD
  • 11 OctSao Paulo2 – 1VitoriaL
  • 8 OctVitoria4 – 0Chapecoense-scW
  • 20 SeptVitoria1 – 3CruzeiroL
  • 13 SeptMirassol2 – 2VitoriaD
  • 8 SeptVitoria1 – 0GremioW
  • 3 SeptVitoria0 – 2Vasco DA GamaL
Vasco DA Gama5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 4 NovAtletico Paranaense1 – 3Vasco DA GamaW
  • 1 NovPalmeiras1 – 0Vasco DA GamaL
  • 30 OctVasco DA Gama1 – 4FlamengoL
  • 24 OctVasco DA Gama3 – 2CorinthiansW
  • 21 OctVasco DA Gama1 – 3Boca JuniorsL
  • 18 OctSao Paulo1 – 0Vasco DA GamaL
  • 14 OctBoca Juniors0 – 1Vasco DA GamaW
  • 10 OctVasco DA Gama0 – 0RemoD
  • 8 OctBotafogo1 – 2Vasco DA GamaW
  • 20 SeptVasco DA Gama5 – 0CoritibaW
H2H
Head to headVitoria 3W · 0D · Vasco DA Gama 6W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 3 SeptVitoria0 – 2Vasco DA Gama
  • 27 AugVasco DA Gama1 – 0Vitoria
  • 5 OctVasco DA Gama4 – 3Vitoria
  • 10 MayVitoria2 – 1Vasco DA Gama
  • 1 SeptVitoria0 – 1Vasco DA Gama
  • 12 MayVasco DA Gama2 – 1Vitoria
  • 11 NovVasco DA Gama0 – 3Vitoria
  • 7 AugVitoria0 – 1Vasco DA Gama
  • 9 SeptVitoria1 – 0Vasco DA Gama

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Vitoria2.33
Draw3.31
Vasco DA Gama3.21

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Vitoria

Chance41.2%
Odds2.33

Draw

Chance29%
Odds3.31

Vasco DA Gama

Chance29.9%
Odds3.21

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 3.21

VitoriaVasco DA Gama
Recent form36%64%
Attack41%59%
Defence45%55%
Goals model41%59%
Head-to-head33%67%
Overall58%42%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Vitoria scored 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Vitoria conceded 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Thu, 16 Jul 2026

Vitoria meet Vasco DA Gama in the Brazil, Serie A on 16 July 2026 at 23:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vitoria at 2.33. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama match?

Kickoff is 23:30 on 16 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama?

Vitoria is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.33. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.