Match dossier

Northampton vs Gillingham Predictions

England · EFL Trophy · Tue, 10 Nov 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · EFL TrophyTue, 10 Nov 2026

Northampton

LLDWL

Tue, 10 Nov 2026·20:00

1 : 2

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.35

Gillingham

LDLWL

Win probability

43.2%Northampton27.3%Draw29.5%Gillingham

Our prediction

1X · Northampton

Northampton vs Gillingham listed tip from the board.

Odds1.35
Confidence74.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Northampton 43.2%
  • Draw 27.3%
  • Gillingham 29.5%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.3574%Lost
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.2282%Won
  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.7358%Won
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3077%Won
  • Banker of the DayOver 1.5Odds 1.2282%Won
  • free 2 oddsOver 2.5Odds 1.7358%Won
  • rolloverOver 1.5Odds 1.2282%Won
  • acca1XOdds 1.3574%Lost
  • v3Under 3.5Odds 1.4Won

Season statistics

EFL Trophy · highlighted side is stronger

NorthamptonGillingham
Goals scored (avg)
–1.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.9

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Northampton0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Gillingham3W 2D 4L in last 9
    • 7 NovGillingham0 – 1BarrowL
    • 31 OctShrewsbury1 – 2GillinghamW
    • 24 OctGillingham1 – 4GrimsbyL
    • 20 OctGillingham1 – 1Port ValeD
    • 17 OctAccrington ST3 – 1GillinghamL
    • 13 OctGillingham4 – 3Brighton U21W
    • 10 OctRotherham1 – 4GillinghamW
    • 3 OctGillingham0 – 0Newport CountyD
    • 26 SeptYork3 – 0GillinghamL
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
    1.5 goals19.2% · 1.225.8% · 4
    2.5 goals13.5% · 1.7311.2% · 2.08
    3.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.7% · 1.4

    Both teams to score

    Yes57.3%
    No42.7%

    Double chance

    1X34.6%
    1237.4%
    X228%

    Match result

    Northampton2.05
    Draw3.25
    Gillingham3

    Both teams to score

    Yes57.3% · 1.6
    No42.7% · 2.15

    1X

    Chance34.6%
    Odds1.35

    12

    Chance37.4%
    Odds1.25

    X2

    Chance28%
    Odds1.67

    Northampton

    Chance43.2%
    Odds2.05

    Draw

    Chance27.3%
    Odds3.25

    Gillingham

    Chance29.5%
    Odds3

    First half result

    Northampton35.1% · 2.5
    Draw39% · 2.25
    Gillingham25.8% · 3.4

    Half goals

    1st over 0.5100% · 1.3

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 1X at 1.35

    NorthamptonGillingham
    Recent form8%92%
    Attack42%58%
    Defence48%52%
    Goals model42%58%
    Overall59%41%

    Trends

    Trend · EFL Trophy

    Gillingham scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · EFL Trophy

    Gillingham conceded 1.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · EFL Trophy

    Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

    Trend · EFL Trophy

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

    Northampton vs Gillingham: prediction & preview

    England · EFL Trophy · Tue, 10 Nov 2026 · Sixfields Stadium, Northampton

    Northampton meet Gillingham in the England, EFL Trophy on 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is Sixfields Stadium, Northampton. The recorded score is 1–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Northampton at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.6. FootyStats lists an over 2.5 potential of 60% for this fixture. The both-teams-to-score potential is 68%.

    Northampton are listed at 35 points per game. Gillingham are listed at 30 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

    Northampton vs Gillingham FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Northampton vs Gillingham match?

    Kickoff is 20:00 on 10 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Northampton vs Gillingham?

    Northampton is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.2%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.6. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.