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Nesebar vs Fratria Predictions

Bulgaria · Second League · Sun, 15 Nov 2026 · 13:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Bulgaria · Second LeagueSun, 15 Nov 2026

Nesebar

14th in table · 18 pts

DLLLL

Sun, 15 Nov 2026·13:30

2 : 3

Full timeTip: 2 · 1.75

Fratria

4th in table · 25 pts

WLLLW

Win probability

24.9%Nesebar23.9%Draw51.2%Fratria

Our prediction

2 · Nesebar

Nesebar vs Fratria listed tip from the board.

Odds1.75
Confidence57.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Nesebar 24.9%
  • Draw 23.9%
  • Fratria 51.2%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Away Win2Odds 1.7557%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.6760%Won
  • Correct Score Tips0-1Odds 4.9020%Lost
  • HandicapAway -0.5Odds 1.4071%Pending
  • free 2 odds2Odds 1.7557%Won
  • accaGGOdds 1.6760%Won

Season statistics

Second League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NesebarFratria
Goals scored (avg)
1.12.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.71.3
Wins
57
Played
1514

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Nesebar2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 8 NovLudogorets II2 – 0NesebarL
  • 31 OctNesebar1 – 2Chernomorets 1919 BurgasL
  • 23 OctHebar 19182 – 1NesebarL
  • 18 OctNesebar0 – 2CSKA SofiaL
  • 10 OctNesebar0 – 0CSKA Sofia IID
  • 4 OctRodopa Smolyan1 – 3NesebarW
  • 27 SeptVihren2 – 0NesebarL
  • 20 SeptNesebar4 – 3BeroeW
  • 15 SeptLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1 – 1NesebarD
Fratria4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 9 NovFratria6 – 2Sportist SvogeW
  • 28 OctFratria1 – 2MontanaL
  • 18 OctFratria1 – 2Botev VratsaL
  • 9 OctEtar Veliko Tarnovo2 – 0FratriaL
  • 3 OctBalkan Botevgrad0 – 3FratriaW
  • 27 SeptFratria3 – 0Spartak PlevenW
  • 20 SeptPirin Blagoevgrad1 – 2FratriaW
  • 15 SeptLudogorets II1 – 1FratriaD
  • 7 SeptFratria2 – 2Chernomorets 1919 BurgasD
H2H
Head to headNesebar 1W · 1D · Fratria 2W · 2.8 goals a game
  • 8 MarNesebar3 – 1Fratria
  • 25 JanFratria2 – 0Nesebar
  • 25 AugFratria1 – 0Nesebar
  • 3 JulNesebar2 – 2Fratria

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.012.1% · 11
1.5 goals19% · 1.216.4% · 3.58
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.811.5% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 2.9217.6% · 1.31

Both teams to score

Yes54.6%
No45.4%

Double chance

1X24.1%
1238.3%
X237.7%

Match result

Nesebar3.6
Draw3.75
Fratria1.75

Both teams to score

Yes54.6% · 1.67
No45.4% · 2.01

1X

Chance24.1%
Odds1.91

12

Chance38.3%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance37.7%
Odds1.22

Nesebar

Chance24.9%
Odds3.6

Draw

Chance23.9%
Odds3.75

Fratria

Chance51.2%
Odds1.75

First half result

Nesebar20.6% · 4.33
Draw40.6% · 2.2
Fratria38.8% · 2.3

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.28

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 1.75

NesebarFratria
Recent form36%64%
Attack34%66%
Defence43%57%
Goals model34%66%
Head-to-head38%62%
Overall33%67%

Trends

Trend · Second League

Nesebar scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Second League

Nesebar conceded 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Second League

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Second League

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Nesebar vs Fratria: prediction & preview

Bulgaria · Second League · Sun, 15 Nov 2026 · Gradski stadion, Nesebar

Nesebar meet Fratria in the Bulgaria, Second League on 15 November 2026 at 13:30 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is Gradski stadion, Nesebar. The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Fratria at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Nesebar vs Fratria FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Nesebar vs Fratria match?

Kickoff is 13:30 on 15 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Nesebar vs Fratria?

Fratria is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.