Match dossier

MVV vs Vitesse Predictions

Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · Sun, 15 Nov 2026 · 14:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

MVV

8th in table · 20 pts

LDLLW

Sun, 15 Nov 2026·14:30

0 : 1

Full timeTip: X2 · 1.36

Vitesse

11th in table · 18 pts

LWLWD

Win probability

30.2%MVV26.6%Draw43.1%Vitesse

Our prediction

X2 · MVV

MVV vs Vitesse listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence73.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • MVV 30.2%
  • Draw 26.6%
  • Vitesse 43.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.3674%Pending
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.5365%Pending
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.1885%Pending
  • Banker of the DayX2Odds 1.3674%Pending
  • Single BetX2Odds 1.3674%Pending
  • HandicapAway -0.5Odds 1.6262%Pending
  • accaX2Odds 1.3674%Pending
  • Win Either HalfAWEHOdds 1.6063%Pending
  • rolloverX2Odds 1.3674%Pending

Season statistics

Eerste Divisie · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MVVVitesse
Goals scored (avg)
1.11.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.61.3
Wins
65
Played
1413

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

MVV2W 1D 6L in last 9
  • 8 NovEmmen0 – 2MVVW
  • 31 OctMVV1 – 2VVV VenloL
  • 28 OctMVV0 – 3ExcelsiorL
  • 23 OctDen Bosch2 – 2MVVD
  • 18 OctMVV1 – 5HeraclesL
  • 9 OctNAC Breda1 – 0MVVL
  • 3 OctFC OSS4 – 1MVVL
  • 26 SeptMVV2 – 0Helmond SportW
  • 18 SeptWaalwijk6 – 1MVVL
Vitesse3W 2D 3L in last 8
  • 2 NovJong Ajax1 – 1VitesseD
  • 28 OctVVV Venlo0 – 2VitesseW
  • 23 OctVitesse0 – 2EmmenL
  • 16 OctFC Eindhoven0 – 1VitesseW
  • 9 OctFC Volendam2 – 0VitesseL
  • 3 OctVitesse2 – 2NAC BredaD
  • 26 SeptHeracles2 – 0VitesseL
  • 19 SeptVitesse3 – 1Jong PSV U21W
H2H
Head to headMVV 1W · 2D · Vitesse 1W · 2.5 goals a game
  • 17 AprVitesse0 – 0MVV
  • 21 OctMVV3 – 2Vitesse
  • 1 MarVitesse1 – 0MVV
  • 6 DecMVV2 – 2Vitesse

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.6% · 1.6210.5% · 2.25
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes61.1%
No38.9%

Double chance

1X28.7%
1236.4%
X234.8%

Match result

MVV3
Draw3.4
Vitesse2.1

Both teams to score

Yes61.1% · 1.53
No38.9% · 2.4

1X

Chance28.7%
Odds1.65

12

Chance36.4%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance34.8%
Odds1.36

MVV

Chance30.2%
Odds3

Draw

Chance26.6%
Odds3.4

Vitesse

Chance43.1%
Odds2.1

First half result

MVV26.4% · 3.4
Draw37.7% · 2.38
Vitesse35.9% · 2.5

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.25

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.36

MVVVitesse
Recent form39%61%
Attack50%50%
Defence19%81%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall41%59%

Trends

Trend · Eerste Divisie

MVV scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eerste Divisie

MVV conceded 2.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Eerste Divisie

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Eerste Divisie

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

MVV vs Vitesse: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · Sun, 15 Nov 2026 · De Geusselt, Maastricht

MVV meet Vitesse in the Netherlands, Eerste Divisie on 15 November 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is De Geusselt, Maastricht. The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vitesse at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

MVV vs Vitesse FAQs

4 questions

What time is the MVV vs Vitesse match?

Kickoff is 14:30 on 15 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for MVV vs Vitesse?

Vitesse is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.