Match dossier

Moreirense vs Benfica Predictions

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Wed, 9 Sept 2026 · 20:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Moreirense

9th in table · 14 pts

DLLWW

Wed, 9 Sept 2026·20:45

0 : 4

Full timeTip: Over 2.5 · 1.90

Benfica

2nd in table · 25 pts

WWWWW

Win probability

5%Moreirense12.3%Draw82.8%Benfica

Our prediction

Over 2.5 · Moreirense

Moreirense vs Benfica listed tip from the board.

Odds1.90
Confidence82.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Moreirense 5%
  • Draw 12.3%
  • Benfica 82.8%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • v3Over 2.5Odds 1.90Won

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MoreirenseBenfica
Goals scored (avg)
1.22.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.30.9
Wins
48
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Moreirense4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctMoreirense2 – 1EstrelaW
  • 25 OctEstoril1 – 3MoreirenseW
  • 17 OctAVS1 – 0MoreirenseL
  • 9 OctMoreirense0 – 1GIL VicenteL
  • 20 SeptVitória SC1 – 1MoreirenseD
  • 14 SeptMoreirense3 – 1MaritimoW
  • 4 SeptFC Porto2 – 1MoreirenseL
  • 30 AugCasa Pia0 – 1MoreirenseW
  • 16 AugArouca4 – 0MoreirenseL
Benfica9W 0D 1L in last 10
  • 5 NovBenfica3 – 1Lech PoznanW
  • 2 NovBenfica1 – 0AlvercaW
  • 29 OctBenfica4 – 1GIL VicenteW
  • 26 OctSanta Clara1 – 2BenficaW
  • 22 OctOmonia Nicosia1 – 4BenficaW
  • 15 OctBenfica4 – 1CelticW
  • 11 OctBenfica2 – 0Vitória SCW
  • 20 SeptFC Porto3 – 1BenficaL
  • 16 SeptAC Milan0 – 2BenficaW
  • 13 SeptBenfica3 – 1GIL VicenteW
H2H
Head to headMoreirense 0W · 4D · Benfica 5W · 2.9 goals a game
  • 25 AprBenfica4 – 1Moreirense
  • 14 DecMoreirense0 – 4Benfica
  • 8 FebBenfica3 – 2Moreirense
  • 30 AugMoreirense1 – 1Benfica
  • 14 AprBenfica3 – 0Moreirense
  • 3 DecMoreirense0 – 0Benfica
  • 17 DecMoreirense1 – 1Benfica
  • 15 JanBenfica1 – 1Moreirense
  • 7 AugMoreirense1 – 2Benfica

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Moreirense19.5
Draw7.9
Benfica1.17

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Moreirense

Chance5%
Odds19.5

Draw

Chance12.3%
Odds7.9

Benfica

Chance82.8%
Odds1.17

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 2.5 at 1.90

MoreirenseBenfica
Recent form33%67%
Attack32%68%
Defence45%55%
Goals model32%68%
Head-to-head22%78%
Overall6%94%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Moreirense scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Moreirense conceded 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

Moreirense vs Benfica: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Wed, 9 Sept 2026

Moreirense meet Benfica in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 9 September 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Benfica at 1.17. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 82.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Moreirense vs Benfica FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Moreirense vs Benfica match?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 9 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Moreirense vs Benfica?

Benfica is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.17. The margin-adjusted share is about 82.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.