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Montpellier vs Metz Predictions

France · Ligue 2 · Fri, 6 Nov 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

France · Ligue 2Fri, 6 Nov 2026

Montpellier

3rd in table · 24 pts

DWWWW

Fri, 6 Nov 2026·20:00

2 : 3

Full timeTip: Montpellier · 1.83

Metz

7th in table · 17 pts

DLWDL

Win probability

49.9%Montpellier26.1%Draw24%Metz

Our prediction

Montpellier

Montpellier is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.83
Confidence49.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Montpellier 49.9%
  • Draw 26.1%
  • Metz 24%

Board tips

Betting Tips

No extra market tips stored for this fixture yet. Use the prediction card and odds markets below.

Season statistics

Ligue 2 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MontpellierMetz
Goals scored (avg)
1.61.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.61.8
Wins
74
Played
1212

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Montpellier6W 2D 1L in last 9
  • 31 OctAnnecy0 – 3MontpellierW
  • 26 OctMontpellier2 – 1RED Star FC 93W
  • 19 OctRodez0 – 3MontpellierW
  • 9 OctMontpellier2 – 0GrenobleW
  • 18 SeptReims1 – 1MontpellierD
  • 11 SeptMontpellier1 – 0PAUW
  • 5 SeptSaint Etienne3 – 1MontpellierL
  • 28 AugMontpellier0 – 0BoulogneD
  • 21 AugDunkerque0 – 1MontpellierW
Metz2W 4D 3L in last 9
  • 30 OctMetz1 – 3PAUL
  • 23 OctDunkerque1 – 1MetzD
  • 17 OctMetz3 – 2SochauxW
  • 12 OctDijon4 – 2MetzL
  • 19 SeptMetz2 – 2Saint EtienneD
  • 14 SeptRED Star FC 931 – 0MetzL
  • 5 SeptMetz4 – 1RodezW
  • 29 AugAnnecy1 – 1MetzD
  • 22 AugMetz1 – 1LavalD
H2H
Head to headMontpellier 4W · 3D · Metz 2W · 2.6 goals a game
  • 11 JanMetz0 – 4Montpellier
  • 18 FebMontpellier3 – 0Metz
  • 17 DecMetz0 – 1Montpellier
  • 1 MayMontpellier2 – 2Metz
  • 1 DecMetz1 – 3Montpellier
  • 31 JulMetz1 – 0Montpellier
  • 3 FebMetz1 – 1Montpellier
  • 16 DecMontpellier0 – 2Metz
  • 22 AugMetz1 – 1Montpellier

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.6% · 1.6210.5% · 2.25
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes59.4%
No40.6%

Double chance

1X37.8%
1236.6%
X225.5%

Match result

Montpellier1.83
Draw3.5
Metz3.8

Both teams to score

Yes59.4% · 1.57
No40.6% · 2.3

1X

Chance37.8%
Odds1.25

12

Chance36.6%
Odds1.29

X2

Chance25.5%
Odds1.85

Montpellier

Chance49.9%
Odds1.83

Draw

Chance26.1%
Odds3.5

Metz

Chance24%
Odds3.8

First half result

Montpellier37.3% · 2.4
Draw38.9% · 2.3
Metz23.8% · 3.75

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.3

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Montpellier at 1.83

MontpellierMetz
Recent form67%33%
Attack48%52%
Defence67%33%
Goals model48%52%
Head-to-head61%39%
Overall68%32%

Trends

Trend · Ligue 2

Montpellier scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 2

Montpellier conceded 0.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 2

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Ligue 2

Kept a clean sheet in 6 of those 9.

Montpellier vs Metz: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 2 · Fri, 6 Nov 2026

Montpellier meet Metz in the France, Ligue 2 on 6 November 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Montpellier at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57. The both-teams-to-score potential is 58%.

Montpellier are listed at 45 points per game. Metz are listed at 10 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Montpellier vs Metz FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Montpellier vs Metz match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 6 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Montpellier vs Metz?

Montpellier is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.