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Monaco vs Toulouse Predictions

France · Ligue 1 · Sat, 10 Oct 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

France · Ligue 1Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Monaco

7th in table · 15 pts

LWDLW

Sat, 10 Oct 2026·19:45

2 : 2

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.19

Toulouse

10th in table · 13 pts

LWDLW

Win probability

59.9%Monaco22%Draw18.1%Toulouse

Our prediction

1X · Monaco

Monaco vs Toulouse listed tip from the board.

Odds1.19
Confidence84.03%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Monaco 59.9%
  • Draw 22%
  • Toulouse 18.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.1984%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.6262%Won
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.3077%Won
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.8355%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.4241%Lost

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MonacoToulouse
Goals scored (avg)
1.61.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.91.4
Wins
43
Played
910

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Monaco5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 5 NovMonaco2 – 0FC NordsjaellandW
  • 1 NovParis FC3 – 1MonacoL
  • 25 OctMonaco1 – 1LilleD
  • 22 OctMonaco3 – 0SC FreiburgW
  • 18 OctLorient1 – 0MonacoL
  • 15 OctCSKA Sofia1 – 2MonacoW
  • 3 OctMonaco2 – 0PisaW
  • 18 SeptMonaco2 – 1LensW
  • 12 SeptStrasbourg1 – 1MonacoD
Toulouse3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 6 NovToulouse3 – 1StrasbourgW
  • 1 NovMarseille2 – 0ToulouseL
  • 25 OctToulouse0 – 0Estac TroyesD
  • 16 OctLe Mans0 – 3ToulouseW
  • 3 OctToulouse2 – 3PAUL
  • 19 SeptToulouse3 – 2Le HavreW
  • 12 SeptLorient2 – 2ToulouseD
  • 3 SeptToulouse0 – 1LilleL
  • 29 AugStade Brestois 292 – 2ToulouseD
H2H
Head to headMonaco 4W · 2D · Toulouse 2W · 2.5 goals a game
  • 25 AprToulouse2 – 2Monaco
  • 25 OctMonaco1 – 0Toulouse
  • 7 MarToulouse1 – 1Monaco
  • 7 DecMonaco2 – 0Toulouse
  • 18 FebMonaco1 – 2Toulouse
  • 20 DecToulouse1 – 2Monaco
  • 3 JunMonaco1 – 2Toulouse
  • 6 NovToulouse0 – 2Monaco

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Monaco1.64
Draw4.47
Toulouse5.44

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Monaco

Chance59.9%
Odds1.64

Draw

Chance22%
Odds4.47

Toulouse

Chance18.1%
Odds5.44

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.19

MonacoToulouse
Recent form59%41%
Attack48%52%
Defence57%43%
Goals model48%52%
Head-to-head63%37%
Overall77%23%

Trends

Trend · Ligue 1

Monaco scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Monaco conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Ligue 1

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Monaco vs Toulouse: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Monaco meet Toulouse in the France, Ligue 1 on 10 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Monaco at 1.64. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Monaco vs Toulouse FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Monaco vs Toulouse match?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Monaco vs Toulouse?

Monaco is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.64. The margin-adjusted share is about 59.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.