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Lens vs Marseille Predictions

France · Ligue 1 · Sun, 8 Nov 2026 · 20:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

France · Ligue 1Sun, 8 Nov 2026

Lens

9th in table · 13 pts

WLWLL

Sun, 8 Nov 2026·20:45

vs

Not startedTip: X2 · 1.67

Marseille

6th in table · 15 pts

WLWWW

Win probability

41.8%Lens24.8%Draw33.4%Marseille

Our prediction

X2 · Lens

Lens vs Marseille listed tip from the board.

Odds1.67
Confidence59.9%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lens 41.8%
  • Draw 24.8%
  • Marseille 33.4%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.6760%Pending
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.4469%Pending

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LensMarseille
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.21.4
Wins
45
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lens4W 1D 5L in last 10
  • 4 NovLens1 – 9ComoL
  • 30 OctLille1 – 0LensL
  • 24 OctLens2 – 1Paris FCW
  • 21 OctClub Brugge KV3 – 0LensL
  • 17 OctEstac Troyes1 – 3LensW
  • 13 OctLens0 – 2Sporting CPL
  • 9 OctLens2 – 1LyonW
  • 2 OctStandard Liege0 – 2LensW
  • 18 SeptMonaco2 – 1LensL
  • 13 SeptLe Mans2 – 2LensD
Marseille5W 0D 5L in last 10
  • 5 NovBayer Leverkusen0 – 1MarseilleW
  • 1 NovMarseille2 – 0ToulouseW
  • 25 OctMarseille4 – 3Le HavreW
  • 22 OctSturm Graz1 – 0MarseilleL
  • 18 OctAngers2 – 5MarseilleW
  • 15 OctMarseille0 – 1Olympiakos PiraeusL
  • 11 OctEstac Troyes0 – 2MarseilleW
  • 20 SeptMarseille1 – 2Paris Saint GermainL
  • 17 SeptBeşiktaş4 – 1MarseilleL
  • 11 SeptRennes1 – 0MarseilleL
H2H
Head to headLens 6W · 0D · Marseille 4W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 24 JanMarseille3 – 1Lens
  • 25 OctLens2 – 1Marseille
  • 8 MarMarseille0 – 1Lens
  • 23 NovLens1 – 3Marseille
  • 28 AprMarseille2 – 1Lens
  • 12 NovLens1 – 0Marseille
  • 6 MayLens2 – 1Marseille
  • 22 OctMarseille0 – 1Lens
  • 22 JanLens0 – 2Marseille
  • 26 SeptMarseille2 – 3Lens

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.6% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals20.9% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.9% · 1.59.1% · 2.62
3.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.3% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X33.8%
1237.9%
X228.3%

Match result

Lens2.2
Draw3.7
Marseille2.75

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance33.8%
Odds1.4

12

Chance37.9%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance28.3%
Odds1.67

Lens

Chance41.8%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance24.8%
Odds3.7

Marseille

Chance33.4%
Odds2.75

First half result

Lens35.6% · 2.5
Draw35.6% · 2.5
Marseille28.7% · 3.1

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.22

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.67

LensMarseille
Recent form46%54%
Attack45%55%
Defence33%67%
Goals model45%55%
Head-to-head60%40%
Overall56%44%

Trends

Trend · Ligue 1

Lens scored 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Ligue 1

Lens conceded 2.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Ligue 1

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Ligue 1

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Lens vs Marseille: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sun, 8 Nov 2026

Lens meet Marseille in the France, Ligue 1 on 8 November 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lens at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 63.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lens vs Marseille FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Lens vs Marseille match?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 8 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Lens vs Marseille?

Lens is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.