Match dossier

Lech Poznan vs Aarhus Predictions

World · UEFA Champions League · Wed, 29 Jul 2026 · 18:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Lech Poznan

DWLWL

Wed, 29 Jul 2026·18:00

0 : 3

Full timeTip: Over 1.5 · 1.18

Aarhus

DWWLD

Win probability

54.9%Lech Poznan24.8%Draw20.2%Aarhus

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan vs Aarhus listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence84.75%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lech Poznan 54.9%
  • Draw 24.8%
  • Aarhus 20.2%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeOver 1.5Odds 1.1885%Won
  • Home Win1Odds 1.7158%Lost
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.1885%Won
  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.7457%Won
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3276%Won
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.4469%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.7037%Lost

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Lech PoznanAarhus
Goals scored (avg)
2.41.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Lech Poznan5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 5 NovBenfica3 – 1Lech PoznanL
  • 31 OctLech Poznan3 – 1Wisla KrakowW
  • 28 OctSiarka Tarnobrzeg1 – 0Lech PoznanL
  • 25 OctLegia Warszawa1 – 2Lech PoznanW
  • 22 OctLech Poznan1 – 1SunderlandD
  • 18 OctLech Poznan6 – 1Korona KielceW
  • 15 OctLech Poznan0 – 4Bayer LeverkusenL
  • 10 OctSlask Wroclaw1 – 4Lech PoznanW
  • 3 OctLech Poznan2 – 2Energie CottbusD
  • 20 SeptLech Poznan5 – 1Radomiak RadomW
Aarhus4W 4D 2L in last 10
  • 5 NovAarhus0 – 0SC BragaD
  • 1 NovBrondby2 – 0AarhusL
  • 28 OctRoskilde1 – 2AarhusW
  • 25 OctAarhus2 – 1ViborgW
  • 22 OctAarhus1 – 1Egnatia RrogozhinëD
  • 18 OctFC Copenhagen1 – 1AarhusD
  • 15 OctGent1 – 0AarhusL
  • 12 OctAarhus3 – 0SonderjyskeW
  • 2 OctAarhus2 – 1Vendsyssel FFW
  • 20 SeptAC Horsens2 – 2AarhusD
H2H
Head to headLech Poznan 1W · 0D · Aarhus 0W · 5 goals a game
  • 21 JulAarhus1 – 4Lech Poznan

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Lech Poznan1.71
Draw3.78
Aarhus4.64

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Lech Poznan

Chance54.9%
Odds1.71

Draw

Chance24.8%
Odds3.78

Aarhus

Chance20.2%
Odds4.64

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.18

Lech PoznanAarhus
Recent form52%48%
Attack65%35%
Defence41%59%
Goals model65%35%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall73%27%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Lech Poznan scored 2.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Lech Poznan conceded 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · UEFA Champions League

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of those 10.

Lech Poznan vs Aarhus: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Wed, 29 Jul 2026

Lech Poznan meet Aarhus in the World, UEFA Champions League on 29 July 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lech Poznan at 1.71. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Lech Poznan vs Aarhus FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Lech Poznan vs Aarhus match?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 29 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Lech Poznan vs Aarhus?

Lech Poznan is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.71. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.