Match dossier

La Luz vs Fenix Predictions

Uruguay · Segunda División · Wed, 11 Nov 2026 · 20:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

La Luz

9th in table · 7 pts

WDWWL

Wed, 11 Nov 2026·20:30

1 : 0

Full timeTip: 2 · 2.50

Fenix

3rd in table · 11 pts

WDLLD

Win probability

33.9%La Luz30.6%Draw35.5%Fenix

Our prediction

2 · La Luz

La Luz vs Fenix listed tip from the board.

Odds2.50
Confidence40%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • La Luz 33.9%
  • Draw 30.6%
  • Fenix 35.5%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Away Win2Odds 2.5040%Pending
  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.4469%Pending
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.8554%Pending
  • free 2 oddsGGOdds 1.8554%Pending
  • v31XOdds 1.44Pending

Season statistics

Segunda División · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

La LuzFenix
Goals scored (avg)
1.31
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.4
Wins
13
Played
66

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

La Luz5W 1D 3L in last 9
  • 31 OctRentistas2 – 0La LuzL
  • 25 OctLa Luz3 – 0MiramarW
  • 17 OctTacuarembo0 – 1La LuzW
  • 11 OctLa Luz1 – 1Plaza ColoniaD
  • 4 OctLa Luz3 – 2CA River PlateW
  • 27 SeptCerrito1 – 2La LuzW
  • 19 SeptLa Luz0 – 1AtenasL
  • 12 SeptPaysandu0 – 1La LuzW
  • 4 SeptLa Luz1 – 3Sportivo HuracanL
Fenix2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 31 OctFenix1 – 1CerritoD
  • 25 OctAtenas4 – 0FenixL
  • 17 OctFenix0 – 1PaysanduL
  • 11 OctSportivo Huracan0 – 0FenixD
  • 4 OctFenix2 – 0Uruguay MontevideoW
  • 26 SeptOriental3 – 2FenixL
  • 23 SeptBoston River3 – 2FenixL
  • 19 SeptFenix1 – 1ColónD
  • 13 SeptCA River Plate0 – 1FenixW
H2H
Head to headLa Luz 3W · 3D · Fenix 2W · 1.9 goals a game
  • 8 AugFenix0 – 0La Luz
  • 22 MarFenix0 – 0La Luz
  • 27 SeptFenix0 – 2La Luz
  • 6 JulLa Luz2 – 2Fenix
  • 20 AprLa Luz0 – 2Fenix
  • 7 DecLa Luz0 – 2Fenix
  • 14 MayFenix0 – 2La Luz
  • 31 AugLa Luz2 – 1Fenix

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.5% · 1.072.9% · 8
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.378.7% · 2.66
2.5 goals9.2% · 2.515.4% · 1.5
3.5 goals5.7% · 4.0519.9% · 1.16

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X32.4%
1234.3%
X233.3%

Match result

La Luz2.62
Draw2.9
Fenix2.5

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.85
No50% · 1.85

1X

Chance32.4%
Odds1.44

12

Chance34.3%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance33.3%
Odds1.4

La Luz

Chance33.9%
Odds2.62

Draw

Chance30.6%
Odds2.9

Fenix

Chance35.5%
Odds2.5

First half result

La Luz27.5% · 3.25
Draw43.6% · 2.05
Fenix28.9% · 3.1

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.4

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 2.50

La LuzFenix
Recent form64%36%
Attack57%43%
Defence54%46%
Goals model57%43%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall49%51%

Trends

Trend · Segunda División

La Luz scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Segunda División

La Luz conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Segunda División

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Segunda División

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

La Luz vs Fenix: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Segunda División · Wed, 11 Nov 2026

La Luz meet Fenix in the Uruguay, Segunda División on 11 November 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Fenix at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.85.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

La Luz vs Fenix FAQs

4 questions

What time is the La Luz vs Fenix match?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 11 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for La Luz vs Fenix?

Fenix is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.85. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.