Match dossier

Guinea vs Eritrea Predictions

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Thu, 12 Nov 2026 · 17:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Guinea

2nd in table · 3 pts

DLLLW

Thu, 12 Nov 2026·17:00

vs

Not startedTip: 1 · 1.17

Eritrea

3rd in table · 1 pts

LWWDL

Win probability

73.8%Guinea18%Draw8.2%Eritrea

Our prediction

1 · Guinea

Guinea vs Eritrea listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence85.5%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Guinea 73.8%
  • Draw 18%
  • Eritrea 8.2%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Home Win1Odds 1.1786%Pending
  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.1786%Pending
  • rolloverUnder 3.5Odds 1.5365%Pending
  • HandicapHome -0.5Odds 1.1786%Pending
  • Banker of the DayUnder 3.5Odds 1.5365%Pending
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.2580%Pending
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.5365%Pending
  • Correct Score Tips1-0Odds 4.5022%Pending

Season statistics

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

GuineaEritrea
Goals scored (avg)
1.11
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.6
Wins
10
Played
22

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Guinea3W 4D 3L in last 10
  • 1 OctGuinea1 – 0KenyaW
  • 26 SeptSouth Africa2 – 1GuineaL
  • 4 JunNorthern Ireland1 – 0GuineaL
  • 31 MarGuinea0 – 1BeninL
  • 27 MarGuinea2 – 2TogoD
  • 18 NovGuinea1 – 1NigerD
  • 15 NovGuinea2 – 0LiberiaW
  • 14 OctGuinea2 – 2BotswanaD
  • 9 OctMozambique1 – 2GuineaW
  • 8 SeptGuinea0 – 0AlgeriaD
Eritrea2W 1D 2L in last 5
  • 30 SeptEritrea0 – 5South AfricaL
  • 26 SeptKenya1 – 1EritreaD
  • 31 MarEswatini1 – 2EritreaW
  • 25 MarEritrea2 – 0EswatiniW
  • 28 MayEritrea0 – 1NigerL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.011.9% · 12
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.225.8% · 4
2.5 goals13.7% · 1.711.1% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes40.3%
No59.7%

Double chance

1X45.9%
1241.9%
X212.2%

Match result

Guinea1.22
Draw5
Eritrea11

Both teams to score

Yes40.3% · 2.3
No59.7% · 1.55

1X

Chance45.9%
Odds1.04

12

Chance41.9%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance12.2%
Odds3.9

Guinea

Chance73.8%
Odds1.22

Draw

Chance18%
Odds5

Eritrea

Chance8.2%
Odds11

First half result

Guinea56.5% · 1.6
Draw34.5% · 2.62
Eritrea9% · 10

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.3

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1 at 1.17

GuineaEritrea
Recent form65%35%
Attack52%48%
Defence59%41%
Goals model52%48%
Overall90%10%

Trends

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Guinea scored 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Guinea conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Guinea vs Eritrea: prediction & preview

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Thu, 12 Nov 2026 · Stade du 28 Septembre, Conakry

Guinea meet Eritrea in the World, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 12 November 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is Stade du 28 Septembre, Conakry. The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Guinea at 1.22. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 73.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.55.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Guinea vs Eritrea FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Guinea vs Eritrea match?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 12 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Guinea vs Eritrea?

Guinea is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.22. The margin-adjusted share is about 73.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.3. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.