Get Premium

Match dossier

Gremio vs Fluminense Predictions

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 26 Jul 2026 · 22:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 26 Jul 2026

Gremio

18th in table · 37 pts

WWWLD

Sun, 26 Jul 2026·22:30

1 : 1

Full timeTip: 2 · 2.72

Fluminense

4th in table · 57 pts

LWLWW

Win probability

36.2%Gremio28.5%Draw35.3%Fluminense

Our prediction

2 · Gremio

Gremio vs Fluminense listed tip from the board.

Odds2.72
Confidence36.76%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Gremio 36.2%
  • Draw 28.5%
  • Fluminense 35.3%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Away Win2Odds 2.7237%Lost
  • DrawsXOdds 3.3761%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.6760%Won
  • Banker of the DayGGOdds 1.6760%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.5928%Lost

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

GremioFluminense
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.1
Wins
916
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Gremio3W 4D 3L in last 10
  • 7 NovAtletico-MG1 – 1GremioD
  • 4 NovFlamengo3 – 1GremioL
  • 1 NovGremio2 – 0Atletico-MGW
  • 30 OctGremio2 – 0Atletico ParanaenseW
  • 26 OctCoritiba0 – 1GremioW
  • 18 OctGremio2 – 4CruzeiroL
  • 11 OctGremio1 – 1InternacionalD
  • 7 OctRemo1 – 1GremioD
  • 20 SeptGremio0 – 0PalmeirasD
  • 16 SeptBotafogo3 – 2GremioL
Fluminense5W 0D 5L in last 10
  • 7 NovVitoria0 – 3FluminenseW
  • 28 OctFluminense2 – 1InternacionalW
  • 24 OctChapecoense-sc2 – 1FluminenseL
  • 22 OctPalmeiras0 – 1FluminenseW
  • 18 OctFluminense1 – 2SantosL
  • 15 OctFluminense1 – 2PalmeirasL
  • 11 OctFlamengo1 – 0FluminenseL
  • 9 OctFluminense4 – 0CoritibaW
  • 20 SeptCorinthians1 – 3FluminenseW
  • 15 SeptPlatense2 – 1FluminenseL
H2H
Head to headGremio 4W · 1D · Fluminense 4W · 2.9 goals a game
  • 28 JanFluminense2 – 1Gremio
  • 3 DecGremio1 – 2Fluminense
  • 3 AugFluminense1 – 0Gremio
  • 2 NovFluminense2 – 2Gremio
  • 20 AugFluminense2 – 1Gremio
  • 13 AugGremio2 – 1Fluminense
  • 30 JunGremio1 – 0Fluminense
  • 7 DecFluminense2 – 3Gremio
  • 13 AugGremio2 – 1Fluminense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Gremio2.65
Draw3.37
Fluminense2.72

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Gremio

Chance36.2%
Odds2.65

Draw

Chance28.5%
Odds3.37

Fluminense

Chance35.3%
Odds2.72

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 2 at 2.72

GremioFluminense
Recent form46%54%
Attack43%57%
Defence47%53%
Goals model43%57%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall51%49%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Gremio scored 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Gremio conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Gremio vs Fluminense: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 26 Jul 2026

Gremio meet Fluminense in the Brazil, Serie A on 26 July 2026 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Gremio at 2.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Gremio vs Fluminense FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Gremio vs Fluminense match?

Kickoff is 22:30 on 26 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Gremio vs Fluminense?

Gremio is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.