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Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza Predictions

El-Salvador · Primera Division · Wed, 11 Nov 2026 · 22:30 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

El-Salvador · Primera DivisionWed, 11 Nov 2026

Fuerte San Francisco

12th in table · 14 pts

LLLDD

Wed, 11 Nov 2026·22:30

1 : 0

Full timeTip: X2 · 1.22

Alianza

7th in table · 26 pts

WDLLW

Win probability

22.5%Fuerte San Francisco28.2%Draw49.3%Alianza

Our prediction

X2 · Fuerte San Francisco

Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence49.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Fuerte San Francisco 22.5%
  • Draw 28.2%
  • Alianza 49.3%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • freeX2Odds 1.22Lost
  • Away Win2Odds 1.8355%Lost
  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.2282%Lost
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.7458%Lost
  • v2Under 3.5Odds 1.48Won
  • free 2 odds2Odds 1.8355%Lost
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.2878%Won

Season statistics

Primera Division · 7 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Fuerte San FranciscoAlianza
Goals scored (avg)
1.70.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
21.1
Wins
26
Played
2019

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Fuerte San Francisco1W 3D 3L in last 7
  • 9 NovFAS2 – 2Fuerte San FranciscoD
  • 5 NovMunicipal Limeño1 – 1Fuerte San FranciscoD
  • 1 NovFuerte San Francisco3 – 4ÁguilaL
  • 25 OctFuerte San Francisco1 – 2Atletico BalboaL
  • 18 OctIsidro Metapán3 – 2Fuerte San FranciscoL
  • 10 OctFuerte San Francisco2 – 1CacahuatiqueW
  • 5 OctInter1 – 1Fuerte San FranciscoD
Alianza2W 3D 3L in last 8
  • 8 NovAlianza3 – 2ÁguilaW
  • 5 NovFirpo2 – 0AlianzaL
  • 1 NovAtletico Balboa1 – 0AlianzaL
  • 28 OctAlianza0 – 0CD MarathonD
  • 24 OctAlianza1 – 0Isidro MetapánW
  • 21 OctCD Marathon2 – 1AlianzaL
  • 17 OctCacahuatique0 – 0AlianzaD
  • 12 OctAlianza2 – 2InterD
H2H
Head to headFuerte San Francisco 1W · 1D · Alianza 7W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 24 SeptAlianza2 – 2Fuerte San Francisco
  • 1 MayFuerte San Francisco0 – 1Alianza
  • 8 MarAlianza3 – 2Fuerte San Francisco
  • 16 NovFuerte San Francisco1 – 3Alianza
  • 14 SeptAlianza1 – 0Fuerte San Francisco
  • 19 MayAlianza2 – 0Fuerte San Francisco
  • 15 MayFuerte San Francisco0 – 1Alianza
  • 23 AprFuerte San Francisco1 – 0Alianza
  • 27 FebAlianza2 – 0Fuerte San Francisco

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.042.1% · 11
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.246.9% · 3.34
2.5 goals12.9% · 1.811.6% · 2
3.5 goals7.6% · 3.0518.1% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes52.3%
No47.7%

Double chance

1X25.4%
1236.1%
X238.5%

Match result

Fuerte San Francisco4
Draw3.2
Alianza1.83

Both teams to score

Yes52.3% · 1.74
No47.7% · 1.91

1X

Chance25.4%
Odds1.85

12

Chance36.1%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance38.5%
Odds1.22

Fuerte San Francisco

Chance22.5%
Odds4

Draw

Chance28.2%
Odds3.2

Alianza

Chance49.3%
Odds1.83

First half result

Fuerte San Francisco20.6% · 4.33
Draw40.6% · 2.2
Alianza38.8% · 2.3

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.33

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.22

Fuerte San FranciscoAlianza
Recent form40%60%
Attack65%35%
Defence34%66%
Goals model65%35%
Head-to-head17%83%
Overall31%69%

Trends

Trend · Primera Division

Fuerte San Francisco scored 1.7 per game in the last 7.

Trend · Primera Division

Fuerte San Francisco conceded 2 per game in the last 7.

Trend · Primera Division

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of those 7.

Trend · Primera Division

Both teams scored in 7 of those 7.

Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza: prediction & preview

El-Salvador · Primera Division · Wed, 11 Nov 2026 · Estadio Correcaminos, San Francisco Gotera

Fuerte San Francisco meet Alianza in the El-Salvador, Primera Division on 11 November 2026 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is Estadio Correcaminos, San Francisco Gotera. The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Alianza at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.74.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza match?

Kickoff is 22:30 on 11 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza?

Alianza is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.74. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.