Match dossier

Derby vs Norwich Predictions

England · Championship · Tue, 3 Nov 2026 · 20:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Derby

23rd in table · 10 pts

LLDLW

Tue, 3 Nov 2026·20:45

0 : 4

Full timeTip: X2 · 1.31

Norwich

12th in table · 18 pts

LLWWW

Win probability

28.7%Derby26.1%Draw45.2%Norwich

Our prediction

X2 · Derby

Derby vs Norwich listed tip from the board.

Odds1.31
Confidence76.34%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Derby 28.7%
  • Draw 26.1%
  • Norwich 45.2%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double ChanceX2Odds 1.3176%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 3.7627%Lost
  • Win Either Half2Odds 1.5764%Won

Season statistics

Championship · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

DerbyNorwich
Goals scored (avg)
12
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.82.2
Wins
26
Played
1514

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Derby1W 3D 5L in last 9
  • 6 NovDerby3 – 1BoltonW
  • 31 OctMillwall4 – 1DerbyL
  • 24 OctSheffield Utd1 – 1DerbyD
  • 17 OctDerby0 – 1Stoke CityL
  • 14 OctQPR4 – 1DerbyL
  • 10 OctDerby1 – 1WrexhamD
  • 19 SeptBurnley1 – 1DerbyD
  • 12 SeptDerby1 – 2BirminghamL
  • 9 SeptDerby0 – 1West BromL
Norwich3W 0D 6L in last 9
  • 7 NovBristol City0 – 5NorwichW
  • 31 OctNorwich3 – 2WatfordW
  • 24 OctCharlton1 – 3NorwichW
  • 17 OctNorwich0 – 1PortsmouthL
  • 14 OctNorwich0 – 1SouthamptonL
  • 10 OctSwansea2 – 1NorwichL
  • 20 SeptNorwich3 – 4BoltonL
  • 17 SeptManchester City5 – 0NorwichL
  • 12 SeptMiddlesbrough4 – 3NorwichL
H2H
Head to headDerby 3W · 3D · Norwich 3W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 21 AprNorwich2 – 1Derby
  • 21 OctDerby1 – 0Norwich
  • 8 FebNorwich1 – 1Derby
  • 28 SeptDerby2 – 3Norwich
  • 10 AprDerby0 – 1Norwich
  • 3 OctNorwich0 – 1Derby
  • 29 DecNorwich3 – 4Derby
  • 3 OctDerby1 – 1Norwich
  • 10 FebDerby1 – 1Norwich

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Derby3.26
Draw3.58
Norwich2.07

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Derby

Chance28.7%
Odds3.26

Draw

Chance26.1%
Odds3.58

Norwich

Chance45.2%
Odds2.07

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.31

DerbyNorwich
Recent form40%60%
Attack33%67%
Defence60%40%
Goals model33%67%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall39%61%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Derby scored 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Derby conceded 1.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Championship

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of those 9.

Derby vs Norwich: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Tue, 3 Nov 2026

Derby meet Norwich in the England, Championship on 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Norwich at 2.07. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Derby vs Norwich FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Derby vs Norwich match?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 3 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Derby vs Norwich?

Norwich is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.07. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.