Match dossier

Derby vs Cardiff Predictions

England · Championship · Sat, 22 Aug 2026 · 15:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 22 Aug 2026

Derby

L

Sat, 22 Aug 2026·15:00

2 : 2

Full timeTip: X · 3.48

Cardiff

D

Win probability

47.1%Derby26.9%Draw26%Cardiff

Our prediction

X · Derby

Derby vs Cardiff listed tip from the board.

Odds3.48
Confidence65.00%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Derby 47.1%
  • Draw 26.9%
  • Cardiff 26%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • DrawsXOdds 3.4865%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.6937%Lost
  • cards ouOver 2.0Odds 2.8535%Lost

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

DerbyCardiff

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Derby0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Cardiff0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headDerby 2W · 2D · Cardiff 5W · 2.3 goals a game
      • 25 JanCardiff2 – 1Derby
      • 14 SeptDerby1 – 0Cardiff
      • 7 MayDerby0 – 1Cardiff
      • 1 MarCardiff1 – 0Derby
      • 2 MarCardiff4 – 0Derby
      • 28 OctDerby1 – 1Cardiff
      • 14 JulCardiff2 – 1Derby
      • 13 SeptDerby1 – 1Cardiff
      • 24 AprDerby3 – 1Cardiff

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      No over/under prices stored.

      Match result

      Derby1.99
      Draw3.48
      Cardiff3.6

      No BTTS prices stored.

      No double chance prices stored.

      Derby

      Chance47.1%
      Odds1.99

      Draw

      Chance26.9%
      Odds3.48

      Cardiff

      Chance26%
      Odds3.6

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: X at 3.48

      DerbyCardiff
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head33%67%
      Overall64%36%

      Derby vs Cardiff: prediction & preview

      England · Championship · Sat, 22 Aug 2026

      Derby meet Cardiff in the England, Championship on 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Derby at 1.99. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Derby vs Cardiff FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is the Derby vs Cardiff match?

      Kickoff is 15:00 on 22 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      What are the safest picks for Derby vs Cardiff?

      Derby is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.99. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.1%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.