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Match dossier

Croatia vs Spain Predictions

World · UEFA Nations League · Tue, 6 Oct 2026 · 19:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueTue, 6 Oct 2026

Croatia

3rd in table · 3 pts

WLWLL

Tue, 6 Oct 2026·19:45

1 : 2

Full timeTip: 2 · 1.26

Spain

1st in table · 12 pts

WWW

Win probability

9.7%Croatia15.9%Draw74.4%Spain

Our prediction

2 · Croatia

Croatia vs Spain listed tip from the board.

Odds1.26
Confidence79.37%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Croatia 9.7%
  • Draw 15.9%
  • Spain 74.4%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Away Win2Odds 1.2679%Won
  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.4071%Won
  • cards ouOver 2.5Odds 1.5764%Lost
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.2183%Won
  • v32Odds 1.50Won
  • free 2 odds2Odds 1.45Won

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CroatiaSpain
Goals scored (avg)
1.2–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.4–
Wins
14
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Croatia4W 0D 5L in last 9
  • 3 OctCroatia0 – 7EnglandL
  • 29 SeptSpain4 – 1CroatiaL
  • 26 SeptCzechia1 – 2CroatiaW
  • 3 JulPortugal2 – 1CroatiaL
  • 27 JunCroatia2 – 1GhanaW
  • 24 JunPanama0 – 1CroatiaW
  • 17 JunEngland4 – 2CroatiaL
  • 7 JunCroatia2 – 1SloveniaW
  • 2 JunCroatia0 – 2BelgiumL
Spain0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headCroatia 2W · 1D · Spain 5W · 3.9 goals a game
    • 29 SeptSpain4 – 1Croatia
    • 15 JunSpain3 – 0Croatia
    • 18 JunCroatia0 – 0Spain
    • 28 JunCroatia3 – 5Spain
    • 15 NovCroatia3 – 2Spain
    • 11 SeptSpain6 – 0Croatia
    • 21 JunCroatia2 – 1Spain
    • 18 JunCroatia0 – 1Spain

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    No over/under prices stored.

    Match result

    Croatia10
    Draw6.07
    Spain1.3

    No BTTS prices stored.

    No double chance prices stored.

    Croatia

    Chance9.7%
    Odds10

    Draw

    Chance15.9%
    Odds6.07

    Spain

    Chance74.4%
    Odds1.3

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 2 at 1.26

    CroatiaSpain
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack55%45%
    Defence38%62%
    Goals model55%45%
    Head-to-head31%69%
    Overall12%88%

    Trends

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Croatia scored 1.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Croatia conceded 2.4 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

    Croatia vs Spain: prediction & preview

    World · UEFA Nations League · Tue, 6 Oct 2026

    Croatia meet Spain in the World, UEFA Nations League on 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Spain at 1.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 74.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Croatia vs Spain FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Croatia vs Spain match?

    Kickoff is 19:45 on 6 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Croatia vs Spain?

    Spain is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 74.4%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.