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Casa Pia vs FC Porto Predictions

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 12 Sept 2026 · 18:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSat, 12 Sept 2026

Casa Pia

17th in table · 7 pts

LLLLD

Sat, 12 Sept 2026·18:00

1 : 4

Full timeTip: Over 1.5 · 1.19

FC Porto

1st in table · 30 pts

LWWWW

Win probability

7%Casa Pia15.6%Draw77.4%FC Porto

Our prediction

Over 1.5 · Casa Pia

Casa Pia vs FC Porto listed tip from the board.

Odds1.19
Confidence84.03%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Casa Pia 7%
  • Draw 15.6%
  • FC Porto 77.4%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5Odds 1.1984%Won
  • 0.5 Goals HTOver 0.5Odds 1.3176%Won
  • corners ouOver 7Odds 1.3276%Lost

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Casa PiaFC Porto
Goals scored (avg)
–2.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–0.9
Wins
210
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Casa Pia0W 0D 0L in last 0
    FC Porto7W 0D 2L in last 9
    • 4 NovFC Porto4 – 1NapoliW
    • 31 OctFC Porto4 – 0EstorilW
    • 28 OctFC Porto1 – 0Academico ViseuW
    • 24 OctGIL Vicente0 – 1FC PortoW
    • 20 OctFC Porto0 – 1PSV EindhovenL
    • 14 OctReal Betis3 – 2FC PortoL
    • 10 OctMaritimo1 – 2FC PortoW
    • 2 OctDeportivo La Coruna1 – 3FC PortoW
    • 20 SeptFC Porto3 – 1BenficaW
    H2H
    Head to headCasa Pia 1W · 1D · FC Porto 7W · 2.6 goals a game
    • 2 FebCasa Pia2 – 1FC Porto
    • 24 AugFC Porto4 – 0Casa Pia
    • 12 AprCasa Pia0 – 1FC Porto
    • 2 DecFC Porto2 – 0Casa Pia
    • 21 AprCasa Pia1 – 2FC Porto
    • 9 DecFC Porto3 – 1Casa Pia
    • 14 MayFC Porto2 – 1Casa Pia
    • 7 JanCasa Pia0 – 0FC Porto
    • 5 DecCasa Pia0 – 3FC Porto

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    No over/under prices stored.

    Match result

    Casa Pia13.8
    Draw6.21
    FC Porto1.25

    No BTTS prices stored.

    No double chance prices stored.

    Casa Pia

    Chance7%
    Odds13.8

    Draw

    Chance15.6%
    Odds6.21

    FC Porto

    Chance77.4%
    Odds1.25

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Over 1.5 at 1.19

    Casa PiaFC Porto
    Recent form5%95%
    Attack31%69%
    Defence32%68%
    Goals model31%69%
    Head-to-head17%83%
    Overall8%92%

    Trends

    Trend · Primeira Liga

    FC Porto scored 2.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Primeira Liga

    FC Porto conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Primeira Liga

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · Primeira Liga

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Casa Pia vs FC Porto: prediction & preview

    Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

    Casa Pia meet FC Porto in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 12 September 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–4.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FC Porto at 1.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 77.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Casa Pia vs FC Porto FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Casa Pia vs FC Porto match?

    Kickoff is 18:00 on 12 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Casa Pia vs FC Porto?

    FC Porto is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 77.4%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.