Match dossier

Benfica vs Lech Poznan Predictions

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 5 Nov 2026 · 21:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Benfica

1st in table · 12 pts

WWWWW

Thu, 5 Nov 2026·21:00

3 : 1

Full timeTip: Over 2.5 · 1.30

Lech Poznan

35th in table · 1 pts

WDWLW

Win probability

82.5%Benfica11.8%Draw5.7%Lech Poznan

Our prediction

Over 2.5 · Benfica

Benfica vs Lech Poznan listed tip from the board.

Odds1.30
Confidence76.92%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Benfica 82.5%
  • Draw 11.8%
  • Lech Poznan 5.7%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Over 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5Odds 1.3077%Won
  • cards ouOver 3.5Odds 1.8355%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 1.8056%Lost

Season statistics

UEFA Europa League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BenficaLech Poznan
Goals scored (avg)
2.62.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.91.4
Wins
40
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Benfica8W 0D 1L in last 9
  • 2 NovBenfica1 – 0AlvercaW
  • 29 OctBenfica4 – 1GIL VicenteW
  • 26 OctSanta Clara1 – 2BenficaW
  • 22 OctOmonia Nicosia1 – 4BenficaW
  • 15 OctBenfica4 – 1CelticW
  • 11 OctBenfica2 – 0Vitória SCW
  • 20 SeptFC Porto3 – 1BenficaL
  • 16 SeptAC Milan0 – 2BenficaW
  • 13 SeptBenfica3 – 1GIL VicenteW
Lech Poznan5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 31 OctLech Poznan3 – 1Wisla KrakowW
  • 28 OctSiarka Tarnobrzeg1 – 0Lech PoznanL
  • 25 OctLegia Warszawa1 – 2Lech PoznanW
  • 22 OctLech Poznan1 – 1SunderlandD
  • 18 OctLech Poznan6 – 1Korona KielceW
  • 15 OctLech Poznan0 – 4Bayer LeverkusenL
  • 10 OctSlask Wroclaw1 – 4Lech PoznanW
  • 3 OctLech Poznan2 – 2Energie CottbusD
  • 20 SeptLech Poznan5 – 1Radomiak RadomW
H2H
Head to headBenfica 2W · 0D · Lech Poznan 0W · 5 goals a game
  • 3 DecBenfica4 – 0Lech Poznan
  • 22 OctLech Poznan2 – 4Benfica

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Benfica1.17
Draw8.2
Lech Poznan17

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Benfica

Chance82.5%
Odds1.17

Draw

Chance11.8%
Odds8.2

Lech Poznan

Chance5.7%
Odds17

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 2.5 at 1.30

BenficaLech Poznan
Recent form59%41%
Attack50%50%
Defence57%43%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall94%6%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Benfica scored 2.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Benfica conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Trend · UEFA Europa League

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 9.

Benfica vs Lech Poznan: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 5 Nov 2026

Benfica meet Lech Poznan in the World, UEFA Europa League on 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Benfica at 1.17. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 82.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Benfica vs Lech Poznan FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Benfica vs Lech Poznan match?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 5 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Benfica vs Lech Poznan?

Benfica is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.17. The margin-adjusted share is about 82.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.