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Atletico-MG vs Santos Predictions

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · 20:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 11 Oct 2026

Atletico-MG

7th in table · 50 pts

LLLLL

Sun, 11 Oct 2026·20:00

2 : 1

Full timeTip: X · 3.54

Santos

9th in table · 47 pts

DWDDL

Win probability

47%Atletico-MG27%Draw25.9%Santos

Our prediction

X · Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG vs Santos listed tip from the board.

Odds3.54
Confidence62.00%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico-MG 47%
  • Draw 27%
  • Santos 25.9%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • DrawsXOdds 3.5462%Lost
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.6660%Won
  • cards ouOver 2.0Odds 2.6737%Lost
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.2844%Lost

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico-MGSantos
Goals scored (avg)
11.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.4
Wins
1412
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atletico-MG3W 1D 5L in last 9
  • 5 NovBotafogo1 – 0Atletico-MGL
  • 1 NovGremio2 – 0Atletico-MGL
  • 29 OctAtletico-MG0 – 1CruzeiroL
  • 27 OctFlamengo3 – 2Atletico-MGL
  • 21 OctAtletico Torque2 – 0Atletico-MGL
  • 17 OctAtletico-MG1 – 0CoritibaW
  • 14 OctAtletico-MG3 – 0Atletico TorqueW
  • 9 OctAtletico Paranaense2 – 2Atletico-MGD
  • 3 OctAtletico-MG1 – 0RB BragantinoW
Santos4W 3D 2L in last 9
  • 3 NovRB Bragantino2 – 1SantosL
  • 28 OctSantos0 – 0PalmeirasD
  • 25 OctSantos1 – 1BahiaD
  • 18 OctFluminense1 – 2SantosW
  • 8 OctSantos2 – 2FlamengoD
  • 3 OctSao Paulo1 – 2SantosW
  • 19 SeptRemo1 – 2SantosW
  • 16 SeptAtletico-MG4 – 2SantosL
  • 13 SeptSantos2 – 1CruzeiroW
H2H
Head to headAtletico-MG 3W · 3D · Santos 3W · 2.2 goals a game
  • 16 SeptAtletico-MG4 – 2Santos
  • 9 SeptSantos2 – 0Atletico-MG
  • 12 AprSantos1 – 0Atletico-MG
  • 14 SeptAtletico-MG1 – 1Santos
  • 17 AprSantos2 – 0Atletico-MG
  • 27 AugAtletico-MG2 – 0Santos
  • 23 AprSantos0 – 0Atletico-MG
  • 6 OctSantos1 – 2Atletico-MG
  • 11 JunAtletico-MG1 – 1Santos

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

No over/under prices stored.

Match result

Atletico-MG2.04
Draw3.55
Santos3.7

No BTTS prices stored.

No double chance prices stored.

Atletico-MG

Chance47%
Odds2.04

Draw

Chance27%
Odds3.55

Santos

Chance25.9%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X at 3.54

Atletico-MGSantos
Recent form40%60%
Attack38%62%
Defence53%47%
Goals model38%62%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall64%36%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Atletico-MG scored 1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Atletico-MG conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Atletico-MG vs Santos: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Atletico-MG meet Santos in the Brazil, Serie A on 11 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico-MG at 2.04. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico-MG vs Santos FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Atletico-MG vs Santos match?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Atletico-MG vs Santos?

Atletico-MG is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.04. The margin-adjusted share is about 47%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.