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Match dossier

Albania vs Finland Predictions

World · UEFA Nations League · Thu, 12 Nov 2026 · 20:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueThu, 12 Nov 2026

Albania

1st in table · 9 pts

Thu, 12 Nov 2026·20:45

vs

Not startedTip: Under 3.5 · 1.22

Finland

3rd in table · 7 pts

LWDWL

Win probability

40.8%Albania32%Draw27.2%Finland

Our prediction

Under 3.5 · Albania

Albania vs Finland listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence82%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Albania 40.8%
  • Draw 32%
  • Finland 27.2%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • rolloverUnder 3.5Odds 1.2282%Pending
  • HandicapHome -0.5Odds 1.3674%Pending
  • Banker of the DayUnder 3.5Odds 1.2282%Pending
  • Correct Score Tips1-0Odds 5.3519%Pending
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.2282%Pending

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · highlighted side is stronger

AlbaniaFinland
Goals scored (avg)
–1.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1
Wins
32
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Albania0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Finland4W 2D 4L in last 10
    • 6 OctBelarus1 – 0FinlandL
    • 3 OctFinland2 – 1AlbaniaW
    • 29 SeptFinland0 – 0BelarusD
    • 26 SeptSan Marino0 – 7FinlandW
    • 5 JunHungary2 – 1FinlandL
    • 31 MayGermany4 – 0FinlandL
    • 30 MarCape Verde Islands1 – 1FinlandD
    • 27 MarNew Zealand0 – 2FinlandW
    • 17 NovFinland4 – 0AndorraW
    • 14 NovFinland0 – 1MaltaL
    H2H
    Head to headAlbania 0W · 0D · Finland 1W · 3 goals a game
    • 3 OctFinland2 – 1Albania

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals21.2% · 1.13.6% · 6.5
    1.5 goals16.2% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
    2.5 goals9.8% · 2.3815.2% · 1.53
    3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.17

    Both teams to score

    Yes44.3%
    No55.7%

    Double chance

    1X36.5%
    1233.9%
    X229.6%

    Match result

    Albania2.2
    Draw2.8
    Finland3.3

    Both teams to score

    Yes44.3% · 2.1
    No55.7% · 1.67

    1X

    Chance36.5%
    Odds1.3

    12

    Chance33.9%
    Odds1.4

    X2

    Chance29.6%
    Odds1.6

    Albania

    Chance40.8%
    Odds2.2

    Draw

    Chance32%
    Odds2.8

    Finland

    Chance27.2%
    Odds3.3

    First half result

    Albania31.3% · 2.88
    Draw46.2% · 1.95
    Finland22.5% · 4

    Half goals

    1st over 0.5100% · 1.5

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Under 3.5 at 1.22

    AlbaniaFinland
    Recent form7%93%
    Attack37%63%
    Defence33%67%
    Goals model37%63%
    Head-to-head0%100%
    Overall60%40%

    Trends

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Finland scored 1.7 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Finland conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

    Trend · UEFA Nations League

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

    Albania vs Finland: prediction & preview

    World · UEFA Nations League · Thu, 12 Nov 2026 · Arena Kombëtare, Tirana

    Albania meet Finland in the World, UEFA Nations League on 12 November 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is Arena Kombëtare, Tirana. The listed referee is Joao Pinheiro. The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Albania at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67. The both-teams-to-score potential is 58%.

    Albania are listed at 10 points per game. Finland are listed at 45 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

    Albania vs Finland FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the Albania vs Finland match?

    Kickoff is 20:45 on 12 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for Albania vs Finland?

    Albania is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.8%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.38 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.