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Match dossier

Albania vs Finland Predictions

World · UEFA Nations League · Thu, 12 Nov 2026 · 20:45 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueThu, 12 Nov 2026

Albania

1st in table · 9 pts

LWWLW

Thu, 12 Nov 2026·20:45

vs

Not startedTip: Under 3.5 · 1.22

Finland

3rd in table · 7 pts

LWDWL

Win probability

40.8%Albania32%Draw27.2%Finland

Our prediction

Under 3.5 · Albania

Albania vs Finland listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence82%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Albania 40.8%
  • Draw 32%
  • Finland 27.2%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • rolloverUnder 3.5Odds 1.2282%Pending
  • HandicapHome -0.5Odds 1.3674%Pending
  • Banker of the DayUnder 3.5Odds 1.2282%Pending
  • Correct Score Tips1-0Odds 5.3519%Pending
  • 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5Odds 1.2282%Pending

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AlbaniaFinland
Goals scored (avg)
11.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11
Wins
32
Played
44

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Albania4W 0D 6L in last 10
  • 6 OctAlbania2 – 1San MarinoW
  • 3 OctFinland2 – 1AlbaniaL
  • 29 SeptSan Marino0 – 3AlbaniaW
  • 26 SeptAlbania2 – 0BelarusW
  • 6 JunAlbania0 – 1LuxembourgL
  • 3 JunAlbania0 – 1IsraelL
  • 31 MarUkraine1 – 0AlbaniaL
  • 26 MarPoland2 – 1AlbaniaL
  • 16 NovAlbania0 – 2EnglandL
  • 13 NovAndorra0 – 1AlbaniaW
Finland4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 6 OctBelarus1 – 0FinlandL
  • 3 OctFinland2 – 1AlbaniaW
  • 29 SeptFinland0 – 0BelarusD
  • 26 SeptSan Marino0 – 7FinlandW
  • 5 JunHungary2 – 1FinlandL
  • 31 MayGermany4 – 0FinlandL
  • 30 MarCape Verde Islands1 – 1FinlandD
  • 27 MarNew Zealand0 – 2FinlandW
  • 17 NovFinland4 – 0AndorraW
  • 14 NovFinland0 – 1MaltaL
H2H
Head to headAlbania 0W · 0D · Finland 1W · 3 goals a game
  • 3 OctFinland2 – 1Albania

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.2% · 1.13.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals16.2% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.8% · 2.3815.2% · 1.53
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X36.5%
1233.9%
X229.6%

Match result

Albania2.2
Draw2.8
Finland3.3

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance36.5%
Odds1.3

12

Chance33.9%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance29.6%
Odds1.6

Albania

Chance40.8%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance32%
Odds2.8

Finland

Chance27.2%
Odds3.3

First half result

Albania31.3% · 2.88
Draw46.2% · 1.95
Finland22.5% · 4

Half goals

1st over 0.5100% · 1.5

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Under 3.5 at 1.22

AlbaniaFinland
Recent form46%54%
Attack37%63%
Defence50%50%
Goals model37%63%
Head-to-head0%100%
Overall60%40%

Trends

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Albania scored 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Albania conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · UEFA Nations League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Albania vs Finland: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Thu, 12 Nov 2026 · Arena Kombëtare, Tirana

Albania meet Finland in the World, UEFA Nations League on 12 November 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The listed venue is Arena Kombëtare, Tirana. The listed referee is Joao Pinheiro. The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Albania at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67. The both-teams-to-score potential is 58%.

Albania are listed at 10 points per game. Finland are listed at 45 points per game. Points per game is a season rate. It does not include late team news, so treat it as context next to the prices.

Albania vs Finland FAQs

4 questions

What time is the Albania vs Finland match?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 12 November 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

What are the safest picks for Albania vs Finland?

Albania is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.38 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.