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AC Milan vs Atalanta Predictions

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · 17:00 · Prediction, H2H, stats & betting tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 18 Oct 2026

AC Milan

5th in table · 21 pts

LWLWL

Sun, 18 Oct 2026·17:00

3 : 2

Full timeTip: 1X · 1.25

Atalanta

13th in table · 11 pts

WLLLW

Win probability

52.9%AC Milan25%Draw22.1%Atalanta

Our prediction

1X · AC Milan

AC Milan vs Atalanta listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence80.00%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AC Milan 52.9%
  • Draw 25%
  • Atalanta 22.1%

Board tips

Betting Tips

  • Double Chance1XOdds 1.2580%Won
  • Both Team To ScoreGGOdds 1.6262%Won
  • cards ouOver 2.5Odds 1.5764%Lost
  • Win Either Half1Odds 1.4469%Won
  • corners ouOver 6.5Odds 2.7337%Lost

Season statistics

Serie A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AC MilanAtalanta
Goals scored (avg)
1.7–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.4–
Wins
63
Played
1010

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

AC Milan4W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 5 NovAC Milan0 – 2Ferencvarosi TCL
  • 31 OctAC Milan3 – 1InterW
  • 28 OctAC Milan2 – 4BolognaL
  • 25 OctUdinese0 – 2AC MilanW
  • 22 OctBournemouth3 – 0AC MilanL
  • 15 OctRed Bull Salzburg0 – 4AC MilanW
  • 11 OctSassuolo1 – 1AC MilanD
  • 20 SeptAC Milan3 – 0LecceW
  • 16 SeptAC Milan0 – 2BenficaL
Atalanta0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headAC Milan 1W · 3D · Atalanta 5W · 2.8 goals a game
    • 10 MayAC Milan2 – 3Atalanta
    • 28 OctAtalanta1 – 1AC Milan
    • 20 AprAC Milan0 – 1Atalanta
    • 6 DecAtalanta2 – 1AC Milan
    • 25 FebAC Milan1 – 1Atalanta
    • 10 JanAC Milan1 – 2Atalanta
    • 9 DecAtalanta3 – 2AC Milan
    • 26 FebAC Milan2 – 0Atalanta
    • 21 AugAtalanta1 – 1AC Milan

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    No over/under prices stored.

    Match result

    AC Milan1.86
    Draw3.93
    Atalanta4.46

    No BTTS prices stored.

    No double chance prices stored.

    AC Milan

    Chance52.9%
    Odds1.86

    Draw

    Chance25%
    Odds3.93

    Atalanta

    Chance22.1%
    Odds4.46

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 1X at 1.25

    AC MilanAtalanta
    Recent form93%7%
    Attack63%37%
    Defence62%38%
    Goals model63%37%
    Head-to-head28%72%
    Overall71%29%

    Trends

    Trend · Serie A

    AC Milan scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Serie A

    AC Milan conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Serie A

    Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

    Trend · Serie A

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    AC Milan vs Atalanta: prediction & preview

    Italy · Serie A · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

    AC Milan meet Atalanta in the Italy, Serie A on 18 October 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AC Milan at 1.86. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    AC Milan vs Atalanta FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is the AC Milan vs Atalanta match?

    Kickoff is 17:00 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    What are the safest picks for AC Milan vs Atalanta?

    AC Milan is the safest-priced 1X2 pick at 1.86. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.9%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over and under 2.5 prices are not stored for this match.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.